Assay

Financial-condition grades for SEC filers

Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026


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AES Corp.AES · other
GradeNonecomputable_factors_below_threshold: 6 of 14 inputs computable; 7 are required
Reliability0.94 AUCfailure model, filers with over $2.67B assets; 95% interval 0.88 to 0.97; 61 events, 2020 to 2025
Peer failure rate0.52% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025
Size bandover $2.67B assetstotal assets $51.8B[1]
Standard universeinsiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2]
Warningslate filer, thin datanot computable: distress, fortress balance sheet
Inputs computable6 of 14
Graded fromfilings received through Mar 2, 2026221 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date
Last close$14.932026-10-08; market equity $10.7B; iex feed
Price used in gradeNone
Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history
$14$16NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct$14.93
ABCDE20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date.

Open this report as it stood on

Letter setLetterPercentileBand
Jan 21, 2012nonen/aQ5
Mar 21, 2017E87.9Q5
Mar 21, 2018nonen/aQ5
Mar 21, 2020E92.4Q5
Mar 21, 2023D76.7Q5
Jan 21, 2024D/E77.3Q5
Mar 21, 2024E97.8Q5
Mar 21, 2025nonen/aQ5

Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan.

Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Mar 2, 2026; the document on sec.gov.

of this Form 10-K, are subject to mortgages or other liens or encumbrances as part of the project's related finance facility. In addition, the majority of our facilities are located on land that is leased. However, in a few instances, no accompanying project financing exists for the facility, and in a few of these cases, the land interest may not be subject to any encumbrance and is owned outright by the subsidiary or affiliate. The Company is involved in certain claims, suits, and legal proceedings in the normal course of business. The Company has accrued for litigation and claims when it is probable that a liability has been incurred and the amount of loss can be reasonably estimated.

Warnings [top]

Late filer. found 1 NT 10-K/Q filings in the last eight quarters
Thin data. 6 of 14 grade factors are computable; minimum is 7

7 checks ran; none of them enters the letter. The checks are listed on the warnings screen.

The Fourteen Inputs [top]

Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.

InputPercentile, 0 to 100ValueSourcePeer medianPercentilePeersPeriod end
Profitability, sleeve percentile 60.9
Gross profitability4.3%[1,3]27.1%88.52892025-12-31
Return on invested capitalnot computable10.0%
one or more required annual facts are missing
Accruals ratio(6.8%)[1,4-6](5.9%)43.45062025-12-31
Gross margin stability, five years2.2 pts[2-3,7-14]2.2 pts50.72042025-12-31
Solvency, sleeve percentile 78.2
Twelve-month failure probabilitynot computable0.04%
liabilities and a nearby cover-page share count are required at 2026-06-30
Altman Z double-primenot computable2.05
one or more required annual facts are missing
Net debt to EBITDAnot computable2.52x
one or more required annual facts are missing
Interest coveragenot computable2.18x
one or more required annual facts are missing
Current ratio0.77x[15-16]1.32x78.25062025-12-31
Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 60.8
Revenue growth, three-year compound(1.0%)[2,8,10,12]5.1%71.64032025-12-31
Free cash flow growth, three-year compoundnot computable8.7%
current FCF must be positive and base FCF must exceed $100,000
Reinvestment ratenot computable11.9%
one or more required annual facts are missing
Asset growth, three yearsnot computable4.1%
four consecutive annual observations are required
Net share issuance, one year0.09%[17-18](0.4%)49.93562026-02-24

Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.

Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.

Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.

Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.

Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.

Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.

Among 336 Peers [top]

What the Price Implies [top]

Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.

MeasureValuePeer medianPercentileReading
Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month17.5%2.0%64hotter than 64 of 100 peers
Distance from 52-week high(13.6%)(26.8%)73closer to its high than 73 of 100 peers
EBIT to enterprise valuenot computable4.4%required accounting or market input is missing
Free cash flow yield(15.2%)4.1%10pricier than 90 of 100 peers
Book value to price0.460.3465pricier than 35 of 100 peers
Sales to price1.150.7065pricier than 35 of 100 peers
Composite equity issuance, five years(14.4%)(8.8%)42more equity-funded than 42 of 100 peers
Relative strength against the sector, log excess return0.01(0.13)64ahead of 64 of 100 peers

Inputs: market equity $10.7B; free cash flow -$1.6B; book equity $4.9B; sales $12.2B; cash $1.8B[19].

Diagnostics [top]

Diagnostics do not feed the grade.

Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-31
Return on assets above zero1.9%✓ pass[4,6]
Operating cash flow above zero$4.3B✓ pass[5]
Return on assets improvedn/a[4,6,20]
Operating cash flow exceeds net income$3.4B✓ pass[4-5]
Long-term leverage felln/a[1,6]
Current ratio improved(3.1 pts)✗ fail[15-16,21-22]
No new shares issued0.1%✗ fail[17-18]
Gross margin improved(0.8 pts)✗ fail[2-3,7-8]
Asset turnover improvedn/a[2,6,8]
Cash, filings, liquidity
Cash and equivalents$1.8B[23]
Operating cash flow, four quarters$5.0B[5,23-27]
Months of runwaynot finite
trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite
Late filings, two years1
NT 10-K or NT 10-Q
Days since last periodic filing66
10-Q received Aug 4, 2026
Median daily dollar volume$106.8M
63 sessions
Days since newest grade input221

Downloads [top]

Sources [top]

Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.

#ConceptXBRL tagValuePeriod endReceivedFormLinks
1assetsus-gaap:Assets$51.8B2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
2revenueus-gaap:Revenues$12.2B2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
3gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$2.2B2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
4net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss$910.0M2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
5operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$4.3B2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
6assetsus-gaap:Assets$47.4B2024-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
7gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$2.3B2024-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
8revenueus-gaap:Revenues$12.3B2024-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
9gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$2.5B2023-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
10revenueus-gaap:Revenues$12.7B2023-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
11gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$2.5B2022-12-312025-03-1110-Kfiling · viewer · series
12revenueus-gaap:Revenues$12.6B2022-12-312025-03-1110-Kfiling · viewer · series
13gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$2.7B2021-12-312024-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
14revenueus-gaap:Revenues$11.1B2021-12-312024-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
15current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$6.5B2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
16current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$8.5B2025-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
17shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding712,558,8602026-02-242026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
18shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding711,908,0572025-04-102025-04-1110-K/Afiling · viewer · series
19shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding713,438,6302026-07-312026-08-0410-Qfiling · viewer · series
20net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss$1.7B2024-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
21current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$6.8B2024-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
22current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$8.6B2024-12-312026-03-0210-Kfiling · viewer · series
23cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$1.8B2026-06-302026-08-0410-Qfiling · viewer · series
24operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$2.2B2026-06-302026-08-0410-Qfiling · viewer · series
25operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$1.2B2026-03-312026-05-0510-Qfiling · viewer · series
26operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$2.8B2025-09-302025-11-0410-Qfiling · viewer · series
27operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$1.5B2025-06-302026-08-0410-Qfiling · viewer · series

Limitations [top]

Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.

Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.

Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.

Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.

Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.