Assay
Financial-condition grades for SEC filers
Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026
|
| Lincoln Educational Services Corp.LINC · other | |
|---|---|
| Grade |  Astrongest fifth of 336 graded peers; percentile 6.6, sampling error 2.6 points; lower is stronger |
| Rank | 23 of 336 |
| Profitability | Bpercentile 22.9 |
| Solvency | Cpercentile 47.7 |
| Growth and financing | Bpercentile 27.2 |
| Reliability | 0.87 AUCfailure model, filers with $120M to $591M assets; 95% interval 0.83 to 0.90; 206 events, 2020 to 2025 |
| Peer failure rate | 1.03% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025 |
| Size band | $120M to $591M assetstotal assets $493.2M[1] |
| Standard universe | insiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2] |
| Warnings | none active · fortress balance sheetnot computable: distress |
| Inputs computable | 10 of 14 |
| Graded from | filings received through Mar 2, 2026221 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date |
| Last close | $23.292026-10-08; market equity $738.8M; iex feed |
| Price used in grade | None |
| Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date. Open this report as it stood on | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan. |
Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Mar 2, 2026; the document on sec.gov.
Business Activities— Lincoln Educational Services Corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively, the “Company”, “we”, “our”, and “us”, as applicable) provide diversified career-oriented postsecondary education to recent high school graduates and working adults. The Company, which currently operates 22 campuses in 12 states, has entered into leases for two new campuses: one in Hicksville, New York, where programs are expected to begin by the end of 2026, and one in Rowlett, Texas, a northern suburb of Dallas, where the lease commenced in the fourth quarter of 2025, and programs are expected to begin in the first quarter of 2027.
Warnings [top]
7 checks ran; none of them enters the letter. The checks are listed on the warnings screen.
The Fourteen Inputs [top]
Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.
| Input | Percentile, 0 to 100 | Value | Source | Peer median | Percentile | Peers | Period end |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability, sleeve percentile 22.9 | |||||||
| Gross profitability | 63.4% | [1-2,5] | 27.1% | 10.1 | 289 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Return on invested capital | not computable | 10.0% | |||||
| latest aligned inputs end 2021-12-31; latest annual assets end 2025-12-31 | |||||||
| Accruals ratio | (8.5%) | [1,6-8] | (5.9%) | 32.9 | 506 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Gross margin stability, five years | 1.2 pts | [2,5,9-16] | 2.2 pts | 25.6 | 204 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Solvency, sleeve percentile 47.7 | |||||||
| Twelve-month failure probability | not computable | 0.04% | |||||
| latest liabilities, cash plus short-term investments, book equity, and shares are required | |||||||
| Altman Z double-prime | 1.60 | [1,17-22] | 2.05 | 46.2 | 386 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | not computable | 2.52x | |||||
| latest aligned inputs end 2021-12-31; latest annual assets end 2025-12-31 | |||||||
| Interest coverage | 8.93x | [20,23] | 2.18x | 25.3 | 88 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Current ratio | 0.86x | [17-18] | 1.32x | 71.5 | 506 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 27.2 | |||||||
| Revenue growth, three-year compound | 14.2% | [2,9,11,13] | 5.1% | 20.9 | 403 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Free cash flow growth, three-year compound | not computable | 8.7% | |||||
| current FCF must be positive and base FCF must exceed $100,000 | |||||||
| Reinvestment rate | 141.1% | [17-18,20,24-29] | 11.9% | 7.9 | 190 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Asset growth, three years | 19.1% | [1,8,30-31] | 4.1% | 16.7 | 438 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Net share issuance, one year | 0.9% | [32-33] | (0.4%) | 63.1 | 356 | 2026-03-02 | |
Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.
Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.
Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.
Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.
Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.
Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.
Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite -0.399; sampling error 2.6 percentile points on 336 peers.
Among 336 Peers [top]
Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.
| Rank | Company | Percentile | Letter | Warnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Astrongest fifth; percentile 5.1 Nasdaq · Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings last close $163.26 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 7 of 14 inputs | 5.1 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 19 | Trex Co. Inc. (TREX) Trex Co. Inc. (TREX) Astrongest fifth; percentile 5.4 NYSE · Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture) market equity $4.5B; last close $44.46 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 5.4 | A | |
| 20 | Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Astrongest fifth; percentile 5.7 Nasdaq · Services-Educational Services market equity $4.2B; last close $160.38 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 8 of 14 inputs | 5.7 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 21 | Flywire Corp. (FLYW) Flywire Corp. (FLYW) Astrongest fifth; percentile 6.0 Nasdaq · Services-Business Services, NEC market equity $2.2B; last close $18.43 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs | 6.0 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 22 | Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR) Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR) Astrongest fifth; percentile 6.3 NYSE · Gold and Silver Ores market equity $416.4M; last close $26.27 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 6.3 | A | |
| 23 | Lincoln Educational Services Corp. (LINC) Lincoln Educational Services Corp. (LINC) Astrongest fifth; percentile 6.6 Nasdaq · Services-Educational Services market equity $737.2M; last close $23.29 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 10 of 14 inputs | 6.6 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 24 | Covista Inc. (CVSA) Covista Inc. (CVSA) Astrongest fifth; percentile 6.9 NYSE · Services-Educational Services market equity $4.4B; last close $130.22 No active warnings; 13 of 14 inputs | 6.9 | A | |
| 25 | Phreesia, Inc. (PHR) Phreesia, Inc. (PHR) Astrongest fifth; percentile 7.2 NYSE · Services-Business Services, NEC market equity $661.7M; last close $10.66 No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs | 7.2 | A | |
| 26 | Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) Astrongest fifth; percentile 7.5 Nasdaq · Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings market equity $5.5B; last close $79.61 No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 7.5 | A | |
| 27 | Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) Astrongest fifth; percentile 7.8 NYSE · Services-Amusement & Recreation Services market equity $901.2M; last close $11.13 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 7.8 | A | |
| 28 | Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) Astrongest fifth; percentile 8.1 Nasdaq · Mobile Homes market equity $4.2B; last close $546.19 No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs | 8.1 | A |
| Peer policy | Letter | Percentile | Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| all graded filers, equal sleeves | A | 7.7 | 2204 |
| sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade) | A | 6.6 | 336 |
| same exchange, equal sleeves | A | 8.2 | 1219 |
| sector peers, equal inputs | A | 5.7 | 336 |
Each letter is one fifth of the 336 graded peers, about 67 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.
What the Price Implies [top]
Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.
| Measure | Value | Peer median | Percentile | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month | 7.1% | 2.0% | 55 | hotter than 55 of 100 peers |
| Distance from 52-week high | (58.3%) | (26.8%) | 14 | closer to its high than 14 of 100 peers |
| EBIT to enterprise value | 4.4% | 4.4% | 49 | pricier than 51 of 100 peers |
| Free cash flow yield | (3.7%) | 4.1% | 17 | pricier than 83 of 100 peers |
| Book value to price | 0.27 | 0.34 | 42 | pricier than 58 of 100 peers |
| Sales to price | 0.70 | 0.70 | 50 | pricier than 50 of 100 peers |
| Composite equity issuance, five years | 16.2% | (8.8%) | 81 | more equity-funded than 81 of 100 peers |
| Relative strength against the sector, log excess return | (0.08) | (0.13) | 55 | ahead of 55 of 100 peers |
Inputs: market equity $737.2M; EBIT $30.3M; free cash flow -$27.3M; book equity $202.4M; sales $518.2M; debt $0; cash $44.2M[34].
Diagnostics [top]
Diagnostics do not feed the grade.
| Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-31 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets above zero | 4.6% | ✓ pass[6,8] |
| Operating cash flow above zero | $59.3M | ✓ pass[7] |
| Return on assets improved | 1.7 pts | ✓ pass[6,8,30,35] |
| Operating cash flow exceeds net income | $39.3M | ✓ pass[6-7] |
| Long-term leverage fell | n/a[1,8,30] | |
| Current ratio improved | (36.9 pts) | ✗ fail[17-18,28-29] |
| No new shares issued | 0.9% | ✗ fail[32-33] |
| Gross margin improved | 1.7 pts | ✓ pass[2,5,9-10] |
| Asset turnover improved | (8.8 pts) | ✗ fail[2,8-9,30] |
| Cash, filings, liquidity | |
|---|---|
| Cash and equivalents | $44.2M[36] |
| Operating cash flow, four quarters | $94.0M[7,36-40] |
| Months of runway | not finite |
| trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite | |
| Late filings, two years | 0 |
| NT 10-K or NT 10-Q | |
| Days since last periodic filing | 60 |
| 10-Q received Aug 10, 2026 | |
| Median daily dollar volume | $19.8M |
| 63 sessions | |
| Days since newest grade input | 221 |
Downloads [top]
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Sources [top]
Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.
| # | Concept | XBRL tag | Value | Period end | Received | Form | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $493.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 2 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $518.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 3 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $83.3M | 2021-12-31 | 2023-03-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 4 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations | $0 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-03-03 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 5 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $205.4M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 6 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $20.0M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 7 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $59.3M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 8 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $436.6M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 9 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $440.1M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 10 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $181.8M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 11 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $378.1M | 2023-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 12 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $162.3M | 2023-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 13 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $348.3M | 2022-12-31 | 2025-03-04 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 14 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $148.7M | 2022-12-31 | 2025-03-04 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 15 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $335.3M | 2021-12-31 | 2023-03-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 16 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $138.9M | 2021-12-31 | 2023-03-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 17 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $87.0M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 18 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $100.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 19 | retained earnings | us-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit | $99.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 20 | operating income | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss | $30.3M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 21 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $199.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 22 | liabilities | us-gaap:Liabilities | $293.5M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 23 | interest expense | us-gaap:InterestExpense | $3.4M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 24 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $86.6M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 25 | depreciation amortization | us-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization | $19.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 26 | pretax income | us-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesExtraordinaryItemsNoncontrollingInterest | $26.1M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 27 | income tax | us-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit | $6.1M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 28 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $111.3M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 29 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $90.2M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 30 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $345.2M | 2023-12-31 | 2025-03-04 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 31 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $291.6M | 2022-12-31 | 2024-03-05 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 32 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 31,878,966 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 33 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 31,592,807 | 2025-03-03 | 2025-03-04 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 34 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 31,721,479 | 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-10 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 35 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $9.9M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 36 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $44.2M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-10 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 37 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $26.6M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-10 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 38 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $4.6M | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-11 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 39 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $15.8M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-10 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 40 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$8.1M | 2025-06-30 | 2026-08-10 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
Limitations [top]
Grade boundary. Percentile 6.6 is 13.4 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.6 points.
Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.
Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.
Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.
Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.
Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.
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