Assay

Financial-condition grades for SEC filers

Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026


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Prog Holdings, Inc.PRG · other
GradeElkBsecond fifth of 336 graded peers; percentile 23.3, sampling error 2.6 points; lower is stronger
Rank79 of 336
ProfitabilityBpercentile 27.9
SolvencyBpercentile 30.6
Growth and financingCpercentile 51.2
Reliability0.91 AUCfailure model, filers with $591M to $2.67B assets; 95% interval 0.88 to 0.94; 160 events, 2020 to 2025
Peer failure rate1.01% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025
Size band$591M to $2.67B assetstotal assets $1.6B[1]
Standard universeinsiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2]
Warningsnone activenot computable: distress
Inputs computable7 of 14
Graded fromfilings received through Feb 18, 2026233 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date
Last close$30.952026-10-08; market equity $1.2B; iex feed
Price used in gradeNone
Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history
$30$40NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctA/BB$30.90
ABCDE20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date.

Open this report as it stood on

Letter setLetterPercentileBand
Jan 21, 2012nonen/a
Mar 21, 2021nonen/aQ4
Feb 21, 2024C42.8Q4
Feb 21, 2025nonen/aQ4
Feb 21, 2026A/B22.6Q4
Jul 21, 2026B22.8Q4
Sep 30, 2026A/B22.6Q4
Oct 3, 2026B23.0Q4

Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan.

Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Feb 18, 2026; the document on sec.gov.

Unless otherwise indicated or unless the context otherwise requires, all references in this Annual Report on Form 10-K to the "Company," "we," "us," "our" and similar expressions are references to PROG Holdings, Inc. ("PROG Holdings") and its consolidated subsidiaries. PROG Holdings is a financial technology holding company that provides transparent and competitive payment options to consumers. PROG Holdings' operating segments include Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider, and Four Technologies, Inc.

The Fourteen Inputs [top]

Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.

InputPercentile, 0 to 100ValueSourcePeer medianPercentilePeersPeriod end
Profitability, sleeve percentile 27.9
Gross profitabilitynot computable27.1%
one or more required annual facts are missing
Return on invested capital13.2%[3-11]10.0%34.71512025-12-31
Accruals ratio(12.0%)[1,12-14](5.9%)21.25062025-12-31
Gross margin stability, five yearsnot computable2.2 pts
five annual gross margins are required; found 0
Solvency, sleeve percentile 30.6
Twelve-month failure probabilitynot computable0.04%
latest liabilities, cash plus short-term investments, book equity, and shares are required
Altman Z double-primenot computable2.05
one or more required annual facts are missing
Net debt to EBITDA1.24x[3,6,8,15]2.52x30.61842025-12-31
Interest coveragenot computable2.18x
latest aligned inputs end 2022-12-31; latest annual assets end 2025-12-31
Current rationot computable1.32x
one or more required annual facts are missing
Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 51.2
Revenue growth, three-year compound(2.5%)[2,16-18]5.1%74.94032025-12-31
Free cash flow growth, three-year compound11.8%[13,19-25]8.7%44.72202025-12-31
Reinvestment ratenot computable11.9%
one or more required annual facts are missing
Asset growth, three years2.6%[1,14,26-27]4.1%57.44382025-12-31
Net share issuance, one year(3.0%)[28-29](0.4%)27.93562026-02-12

Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.

Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.

Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.

Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.

Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.

Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.

Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite -0.246; sampling error 2.6 percentile points on 336 peers.

Among 336 Peers [top]

ABCDESCCO, Southern Copper; A, percentile 8.7; market equity $165.7BSCCOPWR, Quanta Services, Inc.; B, percentile 32.2; market equity $103.0BPWRNFLX, Netflix Inc.; B, percentile 35.5; market equity $298.0BNFLXUBER, Uber Technologies, Inc.; C, percentile 44.8; market equity $143.5BUBERUNP, Union Pacific Corp.; C, percentile 53.7; market equity $165.3BUNPDIS, Walt Disney Co.; D, percentile 64.2; market equity $184.8BDISPRG 23.3strongerweaker

Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.

RankCompanyPercentileLetterWarnings
74Etsy Inc. (ETSY)

Etsy Inc. (ETSY)

A/Bon the A/B boundary; percentile 21.8

NYSE · Services-Business Services, NEC

market equity $6.9B; last close $75.13

No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs

21.8A/B
75Tutor Perini Corp. (TPC)

Tutor Perini Corp. (TPC)

A/Bon the A/B boundary; percentile 22.1

NYSE · General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs

market equity $4.4B; last close $84.34

Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 12 of 14 inputs

22.1A/Bfortress balance sheet
76Castellum, Inc. (CTM)

Castellum, Inc. (CTM)

A/Bon the A/B boundary; percentile 22.4

NYSE · Services-Management Consulting Services

market equity $58.0M; last close $0.61

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

22.4A/B
77Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU)

Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 22.7

NYSE · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

market equity $1.9B; last close $142.16

Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 11 of 14 inputs

22.7Bfortress balance sheet
78Paychex Inc. (PAYX)

Paychex Inc. (PAYX)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 23.0

Nasdaq · Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management

market equity $37.2B; last close $104.42

No active warnings; 13 of 14 inputs

23.0B
79Prog Holdings, Inc. (PRG)

Prog Holdings, Inc. (PRG)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 23.3

NYSE · Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC

market equity $1.2B; last close $30.95

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

23.3B
80Kirby Corp. (KEX)

Kirby Corp. (KEX)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 23.6

NYSE · Water Transportation

market equity $7.3B; last close $138.09

No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs

23.6B
81Exponent Inc. (EXPO)

Exponent Inc. (EXPO)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 23.9

Nasdaq · Services-Management Consulting Services

market equity $3.3B; last close $69.77

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

23.9B
82Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP)

Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 24.2

Nasdaq · Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research

market equity $16.8B; last close $603.38

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

24.2B
83Ttec Holdings, Inc. (TTEC)

Ttec Holdings, Inc. (TTEC)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 24.5

Nasdaq · Services-Help Supply Services

market equity $72.0M; last close $1.46

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

24.5B
84Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP)

Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP)

Bsecond fifth; percentile 24.8

NYSE · Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture)

market equity $836.6M; last close $44.27

No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs

24.8B
Peer policyLetterPercentilePeers
all graded filers, equal sleevesB21.72204
sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade)B23.3336
same exchange, equal sleevesA17.6984
sector peers, equal inputsB35.2336

Each letter is one fifth of the 336 graded peers, about 67 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.

What the Price Implies [top]

Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.

MeasureValuePeer medianPercentileReading
Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month19.9%2.0%67hotter than 67 of 100 peers
Distance from 52-week high(35.0%)(26.8%)35closer to its high than 35 of 100 peers
EBIT to enterprise value10.2%4.4%89pricier than 11 of 100 peers
Free cash flow yield26.4%4.1%96pricier than 4 of 100 peers
Book value to price0.650.3475pricier than 25 of 100 peers
Sales to price1.960.7079pricier than 21 of 100 peers
Composite equity issuance, five years(56.7%)(8.8%)2more equity-funded than 2 of 100 peers
Relative strength against the sector, log excess return0.03(0.13)67ahead of 67 of 100 peers

Inputs: market equity $1.2B; EBIT $206.8M; free cash flow $324.9M; book equity $805.3M; sales $2.4B; debt $887.1M; cash $85.2M[30].

Diagnostics [top]

Diagnostics do not feed the grade.

Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-31
Return on assets above zero9.7%✓ pass[12,14]
Operating cash flow above zero$335.0M✓ pass[13]
Return on assets improved(3.5 pts)✗ fail[12,14,26,31]
Operating cash flow exceeds net income$188.2M✓ pass[12-13]
Long-term leverage fell(4.8 pts)✓ pass[1,6,9,14,26]
Current ratio improvedn/a
No new shares issued(3.0%)✓ pass[28-29]
Gross margin improvedn/a
Asset turnover improved(1.7 pts)✗ fail[2,14,16,26]
Cash, filings, liquidity
Cash and equivalents$85.2M[32]
Operating cash flow, four quarters$333.1M[13,32-36]
Months of runwaynot finite
trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite
Late filings, two years0
NT 10-K or NT 10-Q
Days since last periodic filing71
10-Q received Jul 30, 2026
Median daily dollar volume$19.4M
63 sessions
Days since newest grade input233

Downloads [top]

Sources [top]

Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.

#ConceptXBRL tagValuePeriod endReceivedFormLinks
1assetsus-gaap:Assets$1.6B2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
2revenueus-gaap:Revenues$2.4B2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
3operating incomeus-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss$206.8M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
4pretax incomeus-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesExtraordinaryItemsNoncontrollingInterest$174.5M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
5income taxus-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit$50.2M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
6total debtus-gaap:LongTermDebt$594.9M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
7book equityus-gaap:StockholdersEquity$746.4M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
8cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$308.8M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
9total debtus-gaap:LongTermDebt$643.6M2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
10book equityus-gaap:StockholdersEquity$650.3M2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
11cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$90.9M2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
12net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss$146.8M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
13operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$335.0M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
14assetsus-gaap:Assets$1.5B2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
15depreciation amortizationus-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization$24.0M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
16revenueus-gaap:Revenues$2.4B2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
17revenueus-gaap:Revenues$2.3B2023-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
18revenueus-gaap:Revenues$2.6B2022-12-312025-02-1910-Kfiling · viewer · series
19capital expenditureus-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment$10.0M2025-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
20operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$138.5M2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
21capital expenditureus-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment$8.3M2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
22operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$204.2M2023-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
23capital expenditureus-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment$9.6M2023-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
24operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$242.5M2022-12-312025-02-1910-Kfiling · viewer · series
25capital expenditureus-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment$9.7M2022-12-312025-02-1910-Kfiling · viewer · series
26assetsus-gaap:Assets$1.5B2023-12-312025-02-1910-Kfiling · viewer · series
27assetsus-gaap:Assets$1.5B2022-12-312024-02-2110-Kfiling · viewer · series
28shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding39,575,8102026-02-122026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
29shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding40,816,5312025-02-142025-02-1910-Kfiling · viewer · series
30shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding39,831,6332026-07-242026-07-3010-Qfiling · viewer · series
31net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss$197.2M2024-12-312026-02-1810-Kfiling · viewer · series
32cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$85.2M2026-06-302026-07-3010-Qfiling · viewer · series
33operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$277.9M2026-06-302026-07-3010-Qfiling · viewer · series
34operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$171.7M2026-03-312026-04-2910-Qfiling · viewer · series
35operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$389.9M2025-09-302025-10-2210-Qfiling · viewer · series
36operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$279.8M2025-06-302026-07-3010-Qfiling · viewer · series

Limitations [top]

Grade boundary. Percentile 23.3 is 3.3 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.6 points.

Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.

Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.

Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.

Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.

Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.