Assay
Financial-condition grades for SEC filers
Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026
|
| Ulta Beauty, Inc.ULTA · shops | |
|---|---|
| Grade |  Astrongest fifth of 258 graded peers; percentile 10.1, sampling error 2.9 points; lower is stronger |
| Rank | 27 of 258 |
| Profitability | Bpercentile 23.1 |
| Solvency | B/Cpercentile 38.4 |
| Growth and financing | B/Cpercentile 42.8 |
| Reliability | 0.94 AUCfailure model, filers with over $2.67B assets; 95% interval 0.88 to 0.97; 61 events, 2020 to 2025 |
| Peer failure rate | 0.52% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025 |
| Size band | over $2.67B assetstotal assets $7.0B[1] |
| Standard universe | insiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2] |
| Warnings | none activenot computable: fortress balance sheet |
| Inputs computable | 11 of 14 |
| Graded from | filings received through Mar 26, 2026197 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date |
| Last close | $564.142026-10-08; market equity $24.1B; iex feed |
| Price used in grade | None |
| Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date. Open this report as it stood on | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan. |
Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Mar 26, 2026; the document on sec.gov.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (“we,” “us,” “our,” “Ulta Beauty,” or the “Company”) is an international specialty beauty retailer and a premier beauty destination for cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, wellness products, hair care products, and salon services. The Company was founded in Illinois in 1990 as a beauty retailer at a time when prestige, mass, and salon products were sold through distinct channels – department stores for prestige products; drug stores and mass merchandisers for mass products; and salons and authorized retail outlets for professional hair care products.
The Fourteen Inputs [top]
Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.
| Input | Percentile, 0 to 100 | Value | Source | Peer median | Percentile | Peers | Period end |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability, sleeve percentile 23.1 | |||||||
| Gross profitability | 69.2% | [1,3] | 42.6% | 18.7 | 242 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Return on invested capital | not computable | 10.9% | |||||
| one or more required annual facts are missing | |||||||
| Accruals ratio | (5.4%) | [1,4-6] | (4.9%) | 47.9 | 287 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Gross margin stability, five years | 0.3 pts | [2-3,7-14] | 1.2 pts | 2.8 | 219 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Solvency, sleeve percentile 38.4 | |||||||
| Twelve-month failure probability | 0.03% | 0.04% | 42.1 | 20 | 2026-08-01 | ||
| Altman Z double-prime | 3.84 | [1,15-20] | 1.92 | 26.1 | 208 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | not computable | 1.84x | |||||
| one or more required annual facts are missing | |||||||
| Interest coverage | not computable | 2.26x | |||||
| latest aligned inputs end 2013-02-02; latest annual assets end 2026-01-31 | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.41x | [15-16] | 1.37x | 46.9 | 295 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 42.8 | |||||||
| Revenue growth, three-year compound | 6.7% | [2,8,10,12] | 1.5% | 25.4 | 269 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Free cash flow growth, three-year compound | (3.0%) | [5,21-27] | 5.6% | 70.5 | 147 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Reinvestment rate | (16.9%) | [15-16,18,21,28-32] | 7.3% | 72.8 | 152 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Asset growth, three years | 9.2% | [1,6,33-34] | 3.4% | 22.9 | 272 | 2026-01-31 | |
| Net share issuance, one year | (3.5%) | [35-36] | (0.6%) | 22.4 | 211 | 2026-03-23 | |
Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.
Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.
Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.
Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.
Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.
Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.
Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite -0.360; sampling error 2.9 percentile points on 258 peers.
Among 258 Peers [top]
Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.
| Rank | Company | Percentile | Letter | Warnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) Astrongest fifth; percentile 8.2 Nasdaq · Retail-Family Clothing Stores market equity $6.9B; last close $81.01 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 8.2 | A | |
| 23 | QXO, Inc. (QXO) QXO, Inc. (QXO) Astrongest fifth; percentile 8.8 NYSE · Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials last close $11.12 No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 8.8 | A | |
| 24 | QXO, Inc. (QXO-PB) QXO, Inc. (QXO-PB) Astrongest fifth; percentile 8.8 NYSE · Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 8.8 | A | |
| 25 | FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS) FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS) Astrongest fifth; percentile 9.3 Nasdaq · Retail-Miscellaneous Retail market equity $9.2B; last close $211.93 No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 9.3 | A | |
| 26 | Pricesmart Inc. (PSMT) Pricesmart Inc. (PSMT) Astrongest fifth; percentile 9.7 Nasdaq · Retail-Variety Stores market equity $5.2B; last close $167.12 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 12 of 14 inputs | 9.7 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 27 | Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Astrongest fifth; percentile 10.1 Nasdaq · Retail-Retail Stores, NEC market equity $24.1B; last close $564.14 No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs | 10.1 | A | |
| 28 | Eplus Inc. (PLUS) Eplus Inc. (PLUS) Astrongest fifth; percentile 10.5 Nasdaq · Wholesale-Computers & Peripheral Equipment & Software market equity $2.4B; last close $91.24 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs | 10.5 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 29 | Lovesac Co. (LOVE) Lovesac Co. (LOVE) Astrongest fifth; percentile 10.9 Nasdaq · Retail-Furniture Stores market equity $210.4M; last close $14.60 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs | 10.9 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 30 | Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) Astrongest fifth; percentile 11.3 NYSE · Retail-Eating & Drinking Places market equity $6.1B; last close $39.77 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 10 of 14 inputs | 11.3 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 31 | Watsco Inc. (WSO) Watsco Inc. (WSO) Astrongest fifth; percentile 11.9 NYSE · Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies last close $282.28 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 10 of 14 inputs | 11.9 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| 32 | Watsco Inc. (WSO-B) Watsco Inc. (WSO-B) Astrongest fifth; percentile 11.9 NYSE · Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies last close $312.75 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 10 of 14 inputs | 11.9 | A | fortress balance sheet |
| Peer policy | Letter | Percentile | Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| all graded filers, equal sleeves | A | 8.5 | 2204 |
| sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade) | A | 10.1 | 258 |
| same exchange, equal sleeves | A | 11.8 | 1219 |
| sector peers, equal inputs | A | 11.7 | 258 |
Each letter is one fifth of the 258 graded peers, about 51 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.
What the Price Implies [top]
Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.
| Measure | Value | Peer median | Percentile | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month | (1.8%) | (0.1%) | 48 | hotter than 48 of 100 peers |
| Distance from 52-week high | (20.2%) | (24.1%) | 55 | closer to its high than 55 of 100 peers |
| EBIT to enterprise value | not computable | 5.3% | required accounting or market input is missing | |
| Free cash flow yield | 4.4% | 4.2% | 53 | pricier than 47 of 100 peers |
| Book value to price | 0.11 | 0.36 | 24 | pricier than 76 of 100 peers |
| Sales to price | 0.51 | 1.75 | 15 | pricier than 85 of 100 peers |
| Composite equity issuance, five years | (27.3%) | (16.7%) | 28 | more equity-funded than 28 of 100 peers |
| Relative strength against the sector, log excess return | 0.01 | 0.02 | 48 | ahead of 48 of 100 peers |
Inputs: market equity $24.1B; EBIT $1.5B; free cash flow $1.1B; book equity $2.6B; sales $12.4B; cash $158.5M[37].
Diagnostics [top]
Diagnostics do not feed the grade.
| Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2026-01-31 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets above zero | 19.2% | ✓ pass[4,6] |
| Operating cash flow above zero | $1.5B | ✓ pass[5] |
| Return on assets improved | (1.8 pts) | ✗ fail[4,6,33,38] |
| Operating cash flow exceeds net income | $349.3M | ✓ pass[4-5] |
| Long-term leverage fell | n/a[1,6,33] | |
| Current ratio improved | (28.9 pts) | ✗ fail[15-16,31-32] |
| No new shares issued | (3.5%) | ✓ pass[35-36] |
| Gross margin improved | 0.3 pts | ✓ pass[2-3,7-8] |
| Asset turnover improved | 8.6 pts | ✓ pass[2,6,8,33] |
| Cash, filings, liquidity | |
|---|---|
| Cash and equivalents | $158.5M[39] |
| Operating cash flow, four quarters | $1.6B[5,39-43] |
| Months of runway | not finite |
| trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite | |
| Late filings, two years | 0 |
| NT 10-K or NT 10-Q | |
| Days since last periodic filing | 43 |
| 10-Q received Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Median daily dollar volume | $269.3M |
| 63 sessions | |
| Days since newest grade input | 197 |
Downloads [top]
|
Sources [top]
Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.
| # | Concept | XBRL tag | Value | Period end | Received | Form | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $7.0B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 2 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $12.4B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 3 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $4.8B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 4 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $1.2B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 5 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.5B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 6 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $6.0B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 7 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $4.4B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 8 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $11.3B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 9 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $4.4B | 2024-02-03 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 10 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $11.2B | 2024-02-03 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 11 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $4.0B | 2023-01-28 | 2025-03-27 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 12 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $10.2B | 2023-01-28 | 2025-03-27 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 13 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $3.4B | 2022-01-29 | 2024-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 14 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $8.6B | 2022-01-29 | 2024-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 15 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $3.1B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 16 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $2.2B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 17 | retained earnings | us-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit | $1.7B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 18 | operating income | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss | $1.5B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 19 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $2.8B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 20 | liabilities | us-gaap:Liabilities | $4.2B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 21 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $434.8M | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 22 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.3B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 23 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $374.5M | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 24 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.5B | 2024-02-03 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 25 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $435.3M | 2024-02-03 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 26 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.5B | 2023-01-28 | 2025-03-27 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 27 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $312.1M | 2023-01-28 | 2025-03-27 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 28 | depreciation amortization | us-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization | $300.8M | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 29 | pretax income | us-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesMinorityInterestAndIncomeLossFromEquityMethodInvestments | $1.5B | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 30 | income tax | us-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit | $373.9M | 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 31 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $3.0B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 32 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $1.8B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 33 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $5.7B | 2024-02-03 | 2025-03-27 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 34 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $5.4B | 2023-01-28 | 2024-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 35 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 43,736,630 | 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 36 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 45,309,488 | 2025-03-25 | 2025-03-27 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 37 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 42,757,471 | 2026-08-24 | 2026-08-27 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 38 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $1.2B | 2025-02-01 | 2026-03-26 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 39 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $158.5M | 2026-08-01 | 2026-08-27 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 40 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $381.6M | 2026-08-01 | 2026-08-27 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 41 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $261.9M | 2026-05-02 | 2026-06-02 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 42 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $322.2M | 2025-11-01 | 2025-12-04 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 43 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $316.5M | 2025-08-02 | 2026-08-27 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
Limitations [top]
Grade boundary. Percentile 10.1 is 9.9 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.9 points.
Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.
Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.
Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.
Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.
Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.
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