Assay

Financial-condition grades for SEC filers

Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026


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AXT Inc.AXTI · business equipment
GradeBearEweakest fifth of 497 graded peers; percentile 87.7, sampling error 2.2 points; lower is stronger
Rank436 of 497
ProfitabilityEpercentile 84.9
SolvencyBpercentile 35.1
Growth and financingDpercentile 74.1
Reliability0.87 AUCfailure model, filers with $120M to $591M assets; 95% interval 0.83 to 0.90; 206 events, 2020 to 2025
Peer failure rate1.03% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025
Size band$120M to $591M assetstotal assets $433.8M[1]
Standard universeinsiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2]
Warningsnone activenot computable: fortress balance sheet
Inputs computable9 of 14
Graded fromfilings received through Mar 17, 2026206 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date
Last close$71.592026-10-08; market equity $4.7B; iex feed
Price used in gradeNone
Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history
$100NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctE$71.66
ABCDE20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date.

Open this report as it stood on

Letter setLetterPercentileBand
Jan 21, 2012nonen/a
Mar 21, 2012nonen/aQ3
Mar 21, 2015D/E80.7Q3
Feb 21, 2016D76.3Q3
Mar 21, 2016D/E79.5Q3
Apr 21, 2016D76.3Q3
Mar 21, 2017B35.4Q3
Mar 21, 2020C52.8Q3
Sep 21, 2021B/C41.9Q3
Nov 21, 2021C43.2Q3
Dec 21, 2021B/C41.3Q3
Mar 21, 2022C51.7Q3
Mar 21, 2024E90.1Q3

Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan.

Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Mar 17, 2026; the document on sec.gov.

AXT is a worldwide materials science company that develops and produces high-performance compound and single element semiconductor substrates, also known as wafers. Two of our consolidated subsidiaries produce and sell certain raw materials some of which are used in our substrate manufacturing process and some of which are sold to other companies. Our substrate wafers are used when a typical silicon substrate wafer cannot meet the performance requirements of a semiconductor or optoelectronic device. The dominant substrates used in producing semiconductor chips and other electronic circuits are made from silicon.

The Fourteen Inputs [top]

Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.

InputPercentile, 0 to 100ValueSourcePeer medianPercentilePeersPeriod end
Profitability, sleeve percentile 84.9
Gross profitability2.6%[1,3]28.5%90.15582025-12-31
Return on invested capitalnot computable10.9%
one or more required annual facts are missing
Accruals ratio(2.2%)[1,4-6](7.4%)78.76212025-12-31
Gross margin stability, five years9.4 pts[2-3,7-14]2.4 pts86.04292025-12-31
Solvency, sleeve percentile 35.1
Twelve-month failure probability0.04%0.05%43.01012026-06-30
Altman Z double-prime4.43[1,15-20]2.1827.85662025-12-31
Net debt to EBITDAnot computable1.11x
one or more required annual facts are missing
Interest coveragenot computable3.77x
one or more required annual facts are missing
Current ratio2.72x[15-16]2.02x34.46662025-12-31
Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 74.1
Revenue growth, three-year compound(14.5%)[2,8,10,12]6.4%90.55382025-12-31
Free cash flow growth, three-year compoundnot computable17.2%
current FCF must be positive and base FCF must exceed $100,000
Reinvestment ratenot computable14.3%
pretax income must exceed the validity floor and imply a 0%-100% tax rate
Asset growth, three years5.4%[1,6,21-22]5.0%46.15632025-12-31
Net share issuance, one year21.9%[23-24]0.5%85.74072026-03-02

Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.

Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.

Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.

Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.

Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.

Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.

Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite 0.321; sampling error 2.2 percentile points on 497 peers.

Among 497 Peers [top]

ABCDENVDA, Nvidia Corp.; A, percentile 3.0; market equity $5.6T; warnings: fortress balance sheetNVDAMSFT, Microsoft Corp.; A, percentile 8.7; market equity $3.9TMSFTAMD, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.; A/B, percentile 20.2; market equity $1.0T; warnings: fortress balance sheetAMDAAPL, Apple Inc.; B, percentile 35.5; market equity $5.0TAAPLMU, Micron Technology Inc.; B/C, percentile 40.9; market equity $1.2TMUAVGO, Broadcom Inc.; C, percentile 53.2; market equity $1.7TAVGOAXTI 87.7strongerweaker

Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.

RankCompanyPercentileLetterWarnings
431XTI Aerospace, Inc. (XTIA)

XTI Aerospace, Inc. (XTIA)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 86.7

Nasdaq · Services-Computer Programming Services

market equity $31.0M; last close $0.80

Warnings: dilution, short runway, late filer, fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs

86.7Edilution, short runway, late filer, fortress balance sheet
432Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV)

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 86.9

NYSE · Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies

market equity $601.9M; last close $3.31

Warnings: late filer; 8 of 14 inputs

86.9Elate filer
433Microvast Holdings, Inc. (MVST)

Microvast Holdings, Inc. (MVST)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 87.1

Nasdaq · Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies

market equity $224.5M; last close $0.58

Warnings: late filer, fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs

87.1Elate filer, fortress balance sheet
434International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)

International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 87.3

NYSE · Computer & office Equipment

market equity $213.5B; last close $226.58

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

87.3E
435Sabre Corp. (SABR)

Sabre Corp. (SABR)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 87.5

Nasdaq · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

market equity $778.9M; last close $1.94

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

87.5E
436AXT Inc. (AXTI)

AXT Inc. (AXTI)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 87.7

Nasdaq · Semiconductors & Related Devices

market equity $4.7B; last close $71.59

No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs

87.7E
437Birchtech Corp. (BCHT)

Birchtech Corp. (BCHT)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 87.9

NYSE · Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC

market equity $37.9M; last close $1.48

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

87.9E
438SemiLEDs Corp. (LEDS)

SemiLEDs Corp. (LEDS)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 88.1

Nasdaq · Semiconductors & Related Devices

market equity $18.9M; last close $2.34

Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 8 of 14 inputs

88.1Efortress balance sheet
439Fortive Corp. (FTV)

Fortive Corp. (FTV)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 88.3

NYSE · Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control

market equity $17.2B; last close $56.43

No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs

88.3E
440BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 88.6

NYSE · Services-Prepackaged Software

last close $2.41

Warnings: late filer; 7 of 14 inputs

88.6Elate filer
441BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI-WT)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI-WT)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 88.6

NYSE · Services-Prepackaged Software

Warnings: late filer; 7 of 14 inputs

88.6Elate filer
Peer policyLetterPercentilePeers
all graded filers, equal sleevesE85.12204
sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade)E87.7497
same exchange, equal sleevesE82.61219
sector peers, equal inputsE88.5497

Each letter is one fifth of the 497 graded peers, about 99 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.

What the Price Implies [top]

Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.

MeasureValuePeer medianPercentileReading
Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month1,249.9%2.2%100hotter than 100 of 100 peers
Distance from 52-week high(49.1%)(30.0%)27closer to its high than 27 of 100 peers
EBIT to enterprise valuenot computable1.5%required accounting or market input is missing
Free cash flow yield(0.4%)2.7%23pricier than 77 of 100 peers
Book value to price0.190.2342pricier than 58 of 100 peers
Sales to price0.020.302pricier than 98 of 100 peers
Composite equity issuance, five years44.3%3.9%84more equity-funded than 84 of 100 peers
Relative strength against the sector, log excess return2.32(0.26)100ahead of 100 of 100 peers

Inputs: market equity $4.7B; EBIT -$22.0M; free cash flow -$18.8M; book equity $887.3M; sales $88.3M; cash $412.2M[25].

Diagnostics [top]

Diagnostics do not feed the grade.

Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-31
Return on assets above zero(6.3%)✗ fail[4,6]
Operating cash flow above zero-$12.8M✗ fail[5]
Return on assets improved(3.0 pts)✗ fail[4,6,21,26]
Operating cash flow exceeds net income$8.5M✓ pass[4-5]
Long-term leverage felln/a[1,6,21]
Current ratio improved58.9 pts✓ pass[15-16,27-28]
No new shares issued21.9%✗ fail[23-24]
Gross margin improved(11.3 pts)✗ fail[2-3,7-8]
Asset turnover improved(1.7 pts)✗ fail[2,6,8,21]
Cash, filings, liquidity
Cash and equivalents$412.2M[29]
Operating cash flow, four quarters-$5.8M[5,29-33]
Months of runway858.5
Late filings, two years0
NT 10-K or NT 10-Q
Days since last periodic filing57
10-Q received Aug 13, 2026
Median daily dollar volume$576.1M
63 sessions
Days since newest grade input206

Downloads [top]

Sources [top]

Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.

#ConceptXBRL tagValuePeriod endReceivedFormLinks
1assetsus-gaap:Assets$433.8M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
2revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$88.3M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
3gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$11.2M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
4net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss-$21.3M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
5operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$12.8M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
6assetsus-gaap:Assets$339.3M2024-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
7gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$23.8M2024-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
8revenueus-gaap:Revenues$99.4M2024-12-312025-03-1410-Kfiling · viewer · series
9gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$13.3M2023-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
10revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$75.8M2023-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
11gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$52.1M2022-12-312025-03-1410-Kfiling · viewer · series
12revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$141.1M2022-12-312024-03-1510-Kfiling · viewer · series
13gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$47.4M2021-12-312024-03-1510-Kfiling · viewer · series
14revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$137.4M2021-12-312024-03-1510-Kfiling · viewer · series
15current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$246.6M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
16current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$90.5M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
17retained earningsus-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit-$64.9M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
18operating incomeus-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss-$22.0M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
19book equityus-gaap:StockholdersEquity$273.3M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
20liabilitiesus-gaap:Liabilities$99.1M2025-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
21assetsus-gaap:Assets$358.7M2023-12-312025-03-1410-Kfiling · viewer · series
22assetsus-gaap:Assets$370.1M2022-12-312024-03-1510-Kfiling · viewer · series
23shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding55,573,5992026-03-022026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
24shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding45,597,9952025-03-012025-03-1410-Kfiling · viewer · series
25shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding65,573,2122026-08-032026-08-1310-Qfiling · viewer · series
26net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss-$11.6M2024-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
27current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$158.3M2024-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
28current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$74.2M2024-12-312026-03-1710-Kfiling · viewer · series
29cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$412.2M2026-06-302026-08-1310-Qfiling · viewer · series
30operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$900,0002026-06-302026-08-1310-Qfiling · viewer · series
31operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$11.7M2026-03-312026-05-1410-Qfiling · viewer · series
32operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$17.1M2025-09-302025-11-1310-Qfiling · viewer · series
33operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$7.9M2025-06-302026-08-1310-Qfiling · viewer · series

Limitations [top]

Grade boundary. Percentile 87.7 is 7.7 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.2 points.

Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.

Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.

Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.

Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.

Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.