Assay
Financial-condition grades for SEC filers
Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026
|
| Green Plains Inc.GPRE · chemicals | |
|---|---|
| Grade |  Eweakest fifth of 331 graded peers; percentile 83.3, sampling error 2.7 points; lower is stronger |
| Rank | 267 of 331 |
| Profitability | Dpercentile 62.7 |
| Solvency | Dpercentile 74.8 |
| Growth and financing | C/Dpercentile 59.4 |
| Reliability | 0.91 AUCfailure model, filers with $591M to $2.67B assets; 95% interval 0.88 to 0.94; 160 events, 2020 to 2025 |
| Peer failure rate | 1.01% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025 |
| Size band | $591M to $2.67B assetstotal assets $1.6B[1] |
| Standard universe | insiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2] |
| Warnings | none activenot computable: distress |
| Inputs computable | 9 of 14 |
| Graded from | filings received through Feb 10, 2026241 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date |
| Last close | $15.042026-10-08; market equity $1.1B; iex feed |
| Price used in grade | None |
| Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date. Open this report as it stood on | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan. |
Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Feb 10, 2026; the document on sec.gov.
References to “we,” “us,” “our,” “Green Plains,” or the “company” refer to Green Plains Inc. and its subsidiaries. Incorporated in Iowa, Green Plains is a renewable fuels and agricultural technology company focused on producing low-cost, low-CI ethanol and related co-products, including high protein feeds and corn oil from locally sourced corn. Our goal is to create value through an operational excellence focus including disciplined operations, cost leadership and carbon reduction as we position the company to benefit from expanding low-carbon fuel markets.
The Fourteen Inputs [top]
Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.
| Input | Percentile, 0 to 100 | Value | Source | Peer median | Percentile | Peers | Period end |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability, sleeve percentile 62.7 | |||||||
| Gross profitability | 8.7% | [1,3] | 21.3% | 83.8 | 359 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Return on invested capital | (4.1%) | [4-12] | 9.5% | 90.2 | 124 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Accruals ratio | (13.8%) | [1,13-15] | (4.2%) | 14.0 | 400 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Gross margin stability, five years | not computable | 2.2 pts | |||||
| five consecutive annual gross margins are required | |||||||
| Solvency, sleeve percentile 74.8 | |||||||
| Twelve-month failure probability | not computable | 0.05% | |||||
| latest liabilities, cash plus short-term investments, book equity, and shares are required | |||||||
| Altman Z double-prime | 0.69 | [1,4,8,16-19] | 3.41 | 70.3 | 301 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 6.16x | [4,7,9,20] | 1.88x | 92.6 | 150 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Interest coverage | not computable | 4.16x | |||||
| latest aligned inputs end 2023-12-31; latest annual assets end 2025-12-31 | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.79x | [16-17] | 2.20x | 61.4 | 423 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 59.4 | |||||||
| Revenue growth, three-year compound | 34.0% | [2,21-23] | 1.2% | 4.3 | 350 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Free cash flow growth, three-year compound | not computable | 12.6% | |||||
| current FCF must be positive and base FCF must exceed $100,000 | |||||||
| Reinvestment rate | not computable | 24.3% | |||||
| NOPAT must exceed $100,000 | |||||||
| Asset growth, three years | (9.4%) | [1,15,24-25] | 2.9% | 86.7 | 369 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Net share issuance, one year | 7.9% | [26-27] | 0.0% | 87.2 | 321 | 2026-02-06 | |
Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.
Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.
Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.
Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.
Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.
Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.
Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite 0.326; sampling error 2.7 percentile points on 331 peers.
Among 331 Peers [top]
Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.
| Rank | Company | Percentile | Letter | Warnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262 | Innovate Corp. (VATE) Innovate Corp. (VATE) D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 82.3 NYSE · Fabricated Structural Metal Products market equity $98.2M; last close $7.21 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs | 82.3 | D/E | fortress balance sheet |
| 263 | Polaris Inc. (PII) Polaris Inc. (PII) D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 82.7 NYSE · Miscellaneous Transportation Equipment market equity $3.0B; last close $52.90 No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs | 82.7 | D/E | |
| 264 | Clorox Co. (CLX) Clorox Co. (CLX) Eweakest fifth; percentile 82.7 NYSE · Specialty Cleaning, Polishing and Sanitation Preparations market equity $10.1B; last close $83.45 No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 82.7 | E | |
| 265 | Codexis, Inc. (CDXS) Codexis, Inc. (CDXS) Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.0 Nasdaq · Industrial Organic Chemicals market equity $148.9M; last close $1.36 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs | 83.0 | E | fortress balance sheet |
| 266 | Moving iMAGE Technologies Inc. (MITQ) Moving iMAGE Technologies Inc. (MITQ) Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.1 NYSE · Photographic Equipment & Supplies market equity $5.7M; last close $0.57 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 8 of 14 inputs | 83.1 | E | fortress balance sheet |
| 267 | Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.3 Nasdaq · Industrial Organic Chemicals market equity $1.1B; last close $15.04 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 83.3 | E | |
| 268 | Millerknoll, Inc. (MLKN) Millerknoll, Inc. (MLKN) Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.5 Nasdaq · Office Furniture market equity $1.4B; last close $20.77 No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs | 83.5 | E | |
| 269 | Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.9 Nasdaq · Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware market equity $1.4B; last close $7.02 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 83.9 | E | |
| 270 | Mosaic Co. (MOS) Mosaic Co. (MOS) Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.9 NYSE · Agricultural Chemicals market equity $6.3B; last close $19.75 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 83.9 | E | |
| 271 | O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Eweakest fifth; percentile 84.3 NYSE · Glass Containers market equity $948.1M; last close $6.18 No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs | 84.3 | E | |
| 272 | Sifco Industries Inc. (SIF) Sifco Industries Inc. (SIF) Eweakest fifth; percentile 84.6 NYSE · Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts market equity $140.8M; last close $22.95 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 8 of 14 inputs | 84.6 | E | fortress balance sheet |
| Peer policy | Letter | Percentile | Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| all graded filers, equal sleeves | D/E | 79.8 | 2204 |
| sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade) | E | 83.3 | 331 |
| same exchange, equal sleeves | D | 75.5 | 1219 |
| sector peers, equal inputs | E | 83.0 | 331 |
Each letter is one fifth of the 331 graded peers, about 66 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.
What the Price Implies [top]
Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.
| Measure | Value | Peer median | Percentile | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month | 64.4% | 13.8% | 86 | hotter than 86 of 100 peers |
| Distance from 52-week high | (21.7%) | (24.2%) | 54 | closer to its high than 54 of 100 peers |
| EBIT to enterprise value | (5.4%) | 3.9% | 12 | pricier than 88 of 100 peers |
| Free cash flow yield | 7.0% | 3.2% | 81 | pricier than 19 of 100 peers |
| Book value to price | 0.82 | 0.39 | 81 | pricier than 19 of 100 peers |
| Sales to price | 0.18 | 0.57 | 11 | pricier than 89 of 100 peers |
| Composite equity issuance, five years | 67.6% | (9.9%) | 93 | more equity-funded than 93 of 100 peers |
| Relative strength against the sector, log excess return | 0.33 | (0.02) | 84 | ahead of 84 of 100 peers |
Inputs: market equity $1.1B; EBIT -$67.2M; free cash flow $73.7M; book equity $869.9M; sales $189.0M; debt $374.5M; cash $185.4M[28].
Diagnostics [top]
Diagnostics do not feed the grade.
| Piotroski F-score: 5 of 9, period end 2025-12-31 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets above zero | (6.8%) | ✗ fail[13,15] |
| Operating cash flow above zero | $110.9M | ✓ pass[14] |
| Return on assets improved | (2.6 pts) | ✗ fail[13,15,24,29] |
| Operating cash flow exceeds net income | $232.1M | ✓ pass[13-14] |
| Long-term leverage fell | (1.7 pts) | ✓ pass[1,15,24,30-31] |
| Current ratio improved | 31.9 pts | ✓ pass[16-17,32-33] |
| No new shares issued | 7.9% | ✗ fail[26-27] |
| Gross margin improved | (7.6 pts) | ✗ fail[2-3,21,34] |
| Asset turnover improved | 2.2 pts | ✓ pass[2,15,21,24] |
| Cash, filings, liquidity | |
|---|---|
| Cash and equivalents | $185.4M[35] |
| Operating cash flow, four quarters | $153.9M[14,35-39] |
| Months of runway | not finite |
| trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite | |
| Late filings, two years | 0 |
| NT 10-K or NT 10-Q | |
| Days since last periodic filing | 64 |
| 10-Q received Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Median daily dollar volume | $21.3M |
| 63 sessions | |
| Days since newest grade input | 241 |
Downloads [top]
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Sources [top]
Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.
| # | Concept | XBRL tag | Value | Period end | Received | Form | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $1.6B | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 2 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $189.0M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 3 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $136.9M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 4 | operating income | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss | -$67.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 5 | pretax income | us-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesMinorityInterestAndIncomeLossFromEquityMethodInvestments | -$143.8M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 6 | income tax | us-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit | -$51.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 7 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebt | $374.5M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 8 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $766.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 9 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $182.3M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 10 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebt | $437.8M | 2024-12-31 | 2025-02-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 11 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $865.2M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 12 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $173.0M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 13 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | -$121.3M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 14 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $110.9M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 15 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $1.8B | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 16 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $482.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 17 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $268.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 18 | retained earnings | us-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit | -$439.6M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 19 | liabilities | us-gaap:Liabilities | $806.4M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 20 | depreciation amortization | us-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization | $98.4M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 21 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $163.0M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 22 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $136.3M | 2023-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 23 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $78.6M | 2022-12-31 | 2025-02-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 24 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $1.9B | 2023-12-31 | 2025-02-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 25 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $2.1B | 2022-12-31 | 2024-02-09 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 26 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 69,838,844 | 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 27 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 64,729,446 | 2025-02-04 | 2025-02-07 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 28 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 70,095,328 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 29 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | -$82.5M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 30 | long term debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent | $362.0M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 31 | long term debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent | $432.5M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 32 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $569.0M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 33 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $385.7M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 34 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $130.4M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 35 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $185.4M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 36 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $46.8M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 37 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$39.5M | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 38 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $43.5M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 39 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $3.8M | 2025-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
Limitations [top]
Grade boundary. Percentile 83.3 is 3.3 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.7 points.
Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.
Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.
Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.
Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.
Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.
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