Assay
Financial-condition grades for SEC filers
Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026
|
| National Fuel GAS Co.NFG · utilities | |
|---|---|
| Grade |  Bsecond fifth of 148 graded peers; percentile 35.4, sampling error 3.6 points; lower is stronger |
| Rank | 53 of 148 |
| Profitability | Bpercentile 31.6 |
| Solvency | C/Dpercentile 62.3 |
| Growth and financing | B/Cpercentile 36.5 |
| Reliability | 0.94 AUCfailure model, filers with over $2.67B assets; 95% interval 0.88 to 0.97; 61 events, 2020 to 2025 |
| Peer failure rate | 0.52% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025 |
| Size band | over $2.67B assetstotal assets $8.7B[1] |
| Standard universe | insiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2] |
| Warnings | none activenot computable: distress |
| Inputs computable | 11 of 14 |
| Graded from | filings received through Nov 21, 2025322 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date |
| Last close | $78.222026-10-08; market equity $7.4B; iex feed |
| Price used in grade | None |
| Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date. Open this report as it stood on | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan. |
Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Nov 21, 2025; the document on sec.gov.
National Fuel Gas Company (the Registrant), incorporated in 1902, is a holding company organized under the laws of the State of New Jersey. The Registrant owns directly or indirectly all of the outstanding securities of its subsidiaries. Reference to “the Company” in this report means the Registrant, the Registrant and its subsidiaries or the Registrant’s subsidiaries as appropriate in the context of the disclosure. Also, all references to a certain year in this report relate to the Company’s fiscal year ended September 30 of that year unless otherwise noted.
The Fourteen Inputs [top]
Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.
| Input | Percentile, 0 to 100 | Value | Source | Peer median | Percentile | Peers | Period end |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability, sleeve percentile 31.6 | |||||||
| Gross profitability | 23.0% | [1-3] | 17.5% | 30.0 | 81 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Return on invested capital | 14.5% | [4-12] | 6.0% | 11.1 | 91 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Accruals ratio | (6.8%) | [1,13-15] | (5.0%) | 37.0 | 271 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Gross margin stability, five years | 4.6 pts | [2-3,16-23] | 4.6 pts | 48.1 | 55 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Solvency, sleeve percentile 62.3 | |||||||
| Twelve-month failure probability | not computable | 0.06% | |||||
| liabilities and a nearby cover-page share count are required at 2026-06-30 | |||||||
| Altman Z double-prime | not computable | 1.48 | |||||
| one or more required annual facts are missing | |||||||
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.08x | [4,7,9,24] | 3.63x | 31.0 | 117 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Interest coverage | not computable | 2.37x | |||||
| latest aligned inputs end 2024-09-30; latest annual assets end 2025-09-30 | |||||||
| Current ratio | 0.44x | [25-26] | 0.97x | 93.6 | 282 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 36.5 | |||||||
| Revenue growth, three-year compound | 0.5% | [2,16,18,20] | 0.7% | 52.0 | 222 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Free cash flow growth, three-year compound | 545.8% | [14,27-33] | (11.8%) | 0.0 | 55 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Reinvestment rate | 112.1% | [4-6,24-27,34-35] | 59.0% | 32.4 | 72 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Asset growth, three years | 3.4% | [1,15,36-37] | 6.4% | 73.5 | 246 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Net share issuance, one year | (0.5%) | [38-39] | 0.4% | 24.4 | 157 | 2025-10-31 | |
Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.
Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.
Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.
Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.
Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.
Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.
Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite -0.148; sampling error 3.6 percentile points on 148 peers.
Among 148 Peers [top]
Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.
| Rank | Company | Percentile | Letter | Warnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) Bsecond fifth; percentile 32.0 Nasdaq · Natural Gas Transmisison & Distribution market equity $235.6M; last close $21.77 No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs | 32.0 | B | |
| 49 | Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METC) Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METC) Bsecond fifth; percentile 33.7 Nasdaq · Silver Ores last close $8.51 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 33.7 | B | |
| 50 | Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB) Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB) Bsecond fifth; percentile 33.7 Nasdaq · Silver Ores last close $4.56 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 33.7 | B | |
| 51 | Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCI) Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCI) Bsecond fifth; percentile 33.7 Nasdaq · Silver Ores last close $25.41 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 33.7 | B | |
| 52 | Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCZ) Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCZ) Bsecond fifth; percentile 33.7 Nasdaq · Silver Ores last close $25.17 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 33.7 | B | |
| 53 | National Fuel GAS Co. (NFG) National Fuel GAS Co. (NFG) Bsecond fifth; percentile 35.4 NYSE · Natural Gas Distribution market equity $7.4B; last close $78.22 No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs | 35.4 | B | |
| 54 | Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) Bsecond fifth; percentile 36.1 NYSE · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas market equity $2.8B; last close $16.95 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 36.1 | B | |
| 55 | Murphy OIL Corp. (MUR) Murphy OIL Corp. (MUR) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 36.7 NYSE · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas market equity $5.5B; last close $38.61 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 36.7 | B/C | |
| 56 | Stabilis Solutions, Inc. (SLNG) Stabilis Solutions, Inc. (SLNG) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 37.4 Nasdaq · Natural Gas Distribution market equity $98.9M; last close $5.51 No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs | 37.4 | B/C | |
| 57 | KLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc. (KLXE) KLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc. (KLXE) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 38.1 Nasdaq · Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC market equity $26.8M; last close $1.25 No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs | 38.1 | B/C | |
| 58 | Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 38.8 NYSE · Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining market equity $3.0B; last close $25.03 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 8 of 14 inputs | 38.8 | B/C | fortress balance sheet |
| Peer policy | Letter | Percentile | Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| all graded filers, equal sleeves | C | 58.2 | 2204 |
| sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade) | B | 35.4 | 148 |
| same exchange, equal sleeves | C | 57.5 | 984 |
| sector peers, equal inputs | A/B | 18.4 | 148 |
Each letter is one fifth of the 148 graded peers, about 29 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.
What the Price Implies [top]
Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.
| Measure | Value | Peer median | Percentile | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month | (8.3%) | 15.5% | 14 | hotter than 14 of 100 peers |
| Distance from 52-week high | (18.8%) | (15.4%) | 36 | closer to its high than 36 of 100 peers |
| EBIT to enterprise value | 8.3% | 4.6% | 84 | pricier than 16 of 100 peers |
| Free cash flow yield | 2.5% | 1.3% | 55 | pricier than 45 of 100 peers |
| Book value to price | 0.53 | 0.53 | 50 | pricier than 50 of 100 peers |
| Sales to price | 0.30 | 0.45 | 26 | pricier than 74 of 100 peers |
| Composite equity issuance, five years | (14.0%) | (7.2%) | 38 | more equity-funded than 38 of 100 peers |
| Relative strength against the sector, log excess return | (0.07) | 0.04 | 33 | ahead of 33 of 100 peers |
Inputs: market equity $7.4B; EBIT $813.5M; free cash flow $187.2M; book equity $3.9B; sales $2.2B; debt $3.6B; cash $1.2B[40].
Diagnostics [top]
Diagnostics do not feed the grade.
| Piotroski F-score: 7 of 9, period end 2025-09-30 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets above zero | 6.2% | ✓ pass[13,15] |
| Operating cash flow above zero | $1.1B | ✓ pass[14] |
| Return on assets improved | 5.3 pts | ✓ pass[13,15,36,41] |
| Operating cash flow exceeds net income | $581.5M | ✓ pass[13-14] |
| Long-term leverage fell | 1.6 pts | ✗ fail[1,15,36,42-43] |
| Current ratio improved | 11.9 pts | ✓ pass[25-26,34-35] |
| No new shares issued | (0.5%) | ✓ pass[38-39] |
| Gross margin improved | (0.8 pts) | ✗ fail[2-3,16-17] |
| Asset turnover improved | 6.1 pts | ✓ pass[2,15-16,36] |
| Cash, filings, liquidity | |
|---|---|
| Cash and equivalents | $1.2B[44] |
| Operating cash flow, four quarters | $1.3B[14,44-48] |
| Months of runway | not finite |
| trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite | |
| Late filings, two years | 0 |
| NT 10-K or NT 10-Q | |
| Days since last periodic filing | 71 |
| 10-Q received Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Median daily dollar volume | $51.0M |
| 63 sessions | |
| Days since newest grade input | 322 |
Downloads [top]
|
Sources [top]
Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.
| # | Concept | XBRL tag | Value | Period end | Received | Form | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $8.7B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 2 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $2.2B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 3 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $213.4M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 4 | operating income | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss | $813.5M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 5 | pretax income | us-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesExtraordinaryItemsNoncontrollingInterest | $694.1M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 6 | income tax | us-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit | $175.5M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 7 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebt | $2.7B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 8 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquityIncludingPortionAttributableToNoncontrollingInterest | $3.1B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 9 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $43.2M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 10 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebt | $2.7B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 11 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | -$15.5M | 2024-09-30 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 12 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $38.2M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 13 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $518.5M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 14 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.1B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 15 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $8.3B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 16 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $1.7B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 17 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $150.1M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 18 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $2.3B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 19 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $437.6M | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 20 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $2.2B | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 21 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $392.1M | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 22 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $1.7B | 2021-09-30 | 2023-11-17 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 23 | cost of revenue | us-gaap:CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold | $171.8M | 2021-09-30 | 2023-11-17 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 24 | depreciation amortization | us-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization | $456.6M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 25 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $410.7M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 26 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $925.8M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 27 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $912.8M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 28 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.1B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 29 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $931.2M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 30 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.2B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 31 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $1.0B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 32 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $812.5M | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 33 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | $811.8M | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 34 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $355.9M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 35 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $1.1B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 36 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $8.3B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 37 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $7.9B | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 38 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 90,386,463 | 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 39 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 90,822,810 | 2024-10-31 | 2024-11-22 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 40 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 95,045,099 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 41 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $77.5M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 42 | long term debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent | $2.4B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 43 | long term debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent | $2.2B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 44 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $1.2B | 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 45 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $1.0B | 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 46 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $657.3M | 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-30 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 47 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $274.9M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-29 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 48 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $862.3M | 2025-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
Limitations [top]
Grade boundary. Percentile 35.4 is 4.6 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 3.6 points.
Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.
Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.
Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.
Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.
Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.
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