Assay
Financial-condition grades for SEC filers
Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026
|
| Post Holdings, Inc.POST · consumer nondurables | |
|---|---|
| Grade |  Cmiddle fifth of 124 graded peers; percentile 45.5, sampling error 3.8 points; lower is stronger |
| Rank | 57 of 124 |
| Profitability | Cpercentile 51.9 |
| Solvency | C/Dpercentile 60.8 |
| Growth and financing | Bpercentile 25.6 |
| Reliability | 0.94 AUCfailure model, filers with over $2.67B assets; 95% interval 0.88 to 0.97; 61 events, 2020 to 2025 |
| Peer failure rate | 0.52% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025 |
| Size band | over $2.67B assetstotal assets $13.5B[1] |
| Standard universe | insiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2] |
| Warnings | none activenot computable: distress |
| Inputs computable | 13 of 14 |
| Graded from | filings received through Nov 21, 2025322 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date |
| Last close | $74.192026-10-08; market equity $3.3B; iex feed |
| Price used in grade | None |
| Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date. Open this report as it stood on | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan. |
Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Nov 21, 2025; the document on sec.gov.
We are a consumer packaged goods holding company with businesses operating in the center-of-the-store, refrigerated, foodservice and food ingredient categories. Unless otherwise stated or the context otherwise indicates, all references in this Form 10-K to “Post,” “the Company,” “us,” “our” or “we” mean Post Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Post is a Missouri corporation incorporated on September 22, 2011. On February 3, 2012, Post completed its legal separation via a tax free spin-off from its former parent company. On February 6, 2012, Post common stock began trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “POST”.
The Fourteen Inputs [top]
Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.
| Input | Percentile, 0 to 100 | Value | Source | Peer median | Percentile | Peers | Period end |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability, sleeve percentile 51.9 | |||||||
| Gross profitability | 17.3% | [1,3] | 29.8% | 72.4 | 146 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Return on invested capital | 5.7% | [4-12] | 5.6% | 47.9 | 49 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Accruals ratio | (5.0%) | [1,13-15] | (5.0%) | 50.7 | 153 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Gross margin stability, five years | 1.5 pts | [2-3,16-23] | 1.9 pts | 36.5 | 116 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Solvency, sleeve percentile 60.8 | |||||||
| Twelve-month failure probability | not computable | 0.03% | |||||
| latest liabilities, cash plus short-term investments, book equity, and shares are required | |||||||
| Altman Z double-prime | 1.70 | [1,4,8,24-27] | 3.11 | 61.2 | 122 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.47x | [4,7,9,28] | 2.54x | 83.3 | 55 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Interest coverage | 2.21x | [4,29] | 2.51x | 52.4 | 43 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Current ratio | 1.67x | [24-25] | 1.81x | 46.2 | 157 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 25.6 | |||||||
| Revenue growth, three-year compound | 11.7% | [2,17,19,21] | 0.2% | 9.1 | 133 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Free cash flow growth, three-year compound | 56.5% | [14,30-36] | 14.9% | 15.4 | 66 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Reinvestment rate | (81.0%) | [4-6,24-25,28,30,37-38] | 10.7% | 78.3 | 70 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Asset growth, three years | 6.2% | [1,15,39-40] | 0.5% | 24.1 | 134 | 2025-09-30 | |
| Net share issuance, one year | (10.8%) | [41-42] | 0.05% | 1.0 | 104 | 2025-11-17 | |
Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.
Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.
Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.
Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.
Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.
Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.
Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite -0.084; sampling error 3.8 percentile points on 124 peers.
Among 124 Peers [top]
Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.
| Rank | Company | Percentile | Letter | Warnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Seneca Foods Corp. (SENEB) Seneca Foods Corp. (SENEB) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 41.1 Nasdaq · Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies last close $208.53 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 41.1 | B/C | |
| 53 | Pilgrims Pride Corp. (PPC) Pilgrims Pride Corp. (PPC) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 42.3 Nasdaq · Poultry Slaughtering and Processing market equity $6.8B; last close $28.48 No active warnings; 13 of 14 inputs | 42.3 | B/C | |
| 54 | Boston Beer Co. Inc. (SAM) Boston Beer Co. Inc. (SAM) B/Con the B/C boundary; percentile 43.1 NYSE · Malt Beverages last close $171.15 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs | 43.1 | B/C | fortress balance sheet |
| 55 | Bridgford Foods Corp. (BRID) Bridgford Foods Corp. (BRID) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 43.9 Nasdaq · Sausages & Other Prepared Meat Products market equity $53.6M; last close $5.42 No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 43.9 | C | |
| 56 | Hershey Co. (HSY) Hershey Co. (HSY) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 44.7 NYSE · Sugar & Confectionery Products market equity $33.0B; last close $162.49 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 44.7 | C | |
| 57 | Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 45.5 NYSE · Grain Mill Products market equity $3.3B; last close $74.19 No active warnings; 13 of 14 inputs | 45.5 | C | |
| 58 | Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 46.3 NYSE · Cigarettes market equity $312.5B; last close $200.51 No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs | 46.3 | C | |
| 59 | Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 47.2 NYSE · Meat Packing Plants last close $19.41 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 47.2 | C | |
| 60 | Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 48.0 NYSE · Cigarettes market equity $119.3B; last close $71.43 No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs | 48.0 | C | |
| 61 | Oxford Industries Inc. (OXM) Oxford Industries Inc. (OXM) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 48.8 NYSE · Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments market equity $381.6M; last close $25.48 No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs | 48.8 | C | |
| 62 | BrightView Holdings, Inc. (BV) BrightView Holdings, Inc. (BV) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 49.6 NYSE · Agricultural Services market equity $968.6M; last close $10.45 No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs | 49.6 | C |
| Peer policy | Letter | Percentile | Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| all graded filers, equal sleeves | C | 49.2 | 2204 |
| sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade) | C | 45.5 | 124 |
| same exchange, equal sleeves | C | 50.9 | 984 |
| sector peers, equal inputs | C | 43.9 | 124 |
Each letter is one fifth of the 124 graded peers, about 24 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.
What the Price Implies [top]
Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.
| Measure | Value | Peer median | Percentile | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month | (22.4%) | (0.2%) | 22 | hotter than 22 of 100 peers |
| Distance from 52-week high | (35.2%) | (24.8%) | 25 | closer to its high than 25 of 100 peers |
| EBIT to enterprise value | 7.5% | 4.1% | 78 | pricier than 22 of 100 peers |
| Free cash flow yield | 15.0% | 4.8% | 88 | pricier than 12 of 100 peers |
| Book value to price | 0.94 | 0.57 | 72 | pricier than 28 of 100 peers |
| Sales to price | 2.50 | 1.20 | 77 | pricier than 23 of 100 peers |
| Composite equity issuance, five years | (84.5%) | (16.3%) | 0 | more equity-funded than 0 of 100 peers |
| Relative strength against the sector, log excess return | (0.35) | (0.10) | 22 | ahead of 22 of 100 peers |
Inputs: market equity $3.3B; EBIT $799.3M; free cash flow $488.1M; book equity $3.1B; sales $8.2B; debt $7.6B; cash $265.6M[43].
Diagnostics [top]
Diagnostics do not feed the grade.
| Piotroski F-score: 4 of 9, period end 2025-09-30 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets above zero | 2.6% | ✓ pass[13,15] |
| Operating cash flow above zero | $998.3M | ✓ pass[14] |
| Return on assets improved | (0.5 pts) | ✗ fail[13,15,39,44] |
| Operating cash flow exceeds net income | $662.6M | ✓ pass[13-14] |
| Long-term leverage fell | 0.7 pts | ✗ fail[1,15,39,45-46] |
| Current ratio improved | (69.3 pts) | ✗ fail[24-25,37-38] |
| No new shares issued | (10.8%) | ✓ pass[41-42] |
| Gross margin improved | (0.4 pts) | ✗ fail[2-3,16-17] |
| Asset turnover improved | (4.6 pts) | ✗ fail[2,15,17,39] |
| Cash, filings, liquidity | |
|---|---|
| Cash and equivalents | $265.6M[47] |
| Operating cash flow, four quarters | $992.6M[14,47-51] |
| Months of runway | not finite |
| trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite | |
| Late filings, two years | 0 |
| NT 10-K or NT 10-Q | |
| Days since last periodic filing | 64 |
| 10-Q received Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Median daily dollar volume | $70.9M |
| 63 sessions | |
| Days since newest grade input | 322 |
Downloads [top]
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Sources [top]
Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.
| # | Concept | XBRL tag | Value | Period end | Received | Form | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $13.5B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 2 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $8.2B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 3 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $2.3B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 4 | operating income | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss | $799.3M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 5 | pretax income | us-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesExtraordinaryItemsNoncontrollingInterest | $444.0M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 6 | income tax | us-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit | $108.7M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 7 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations | $7.4B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 8 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $3.8B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 9 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $176.7M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 10 | total debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations | $6.8B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 11 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $4.1B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 12 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $787.4M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 13 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $335.7M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 14 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $998.3M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 15 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $12.9B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 16 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $2.3B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 17 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $7.9B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 18 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $1.9B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 19 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $7.0B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 20 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $1.5B | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-15 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 21 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $5.9B | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-15 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 22 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | $1.4B | 2021-09-30 | 2023-11-17 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 23 | revenue | us-gaap:Revenues | $5.0B | 2021-09-30 | 2023-11-17 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 24 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $2.0B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 25 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $1.2B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 26 | retained earnings | us-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit | $2.1B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 27 | liabilities | us-gaap:Liabilities | $9.8B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 28 | depreciation amortization | us-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization | $524.3M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 29 | interest expense | us-gaap:InterestExpense | $361.4M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 30 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets | $510.2M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 31 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $931.7M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 32 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets | $429.5M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 33 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $750.3M | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 34 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets | $303.0M | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 35 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $382.6M | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-15 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 36 | capital expenditure | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets | $255.3M | 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-15 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 37 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $2.2B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 38 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $944.9M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 39 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $11.6B | 2023-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 40 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $11.3B | 2022-09-30 | 2023-11-17 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 41 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 52,154,798 | 2025-11-17 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 42 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 58,453,277 | 2024-11-11 | 2024-11-15 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 43 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 43,956,805 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 44 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | $366.7M | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 45 | long term debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent | $7.4B | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 46 | long term debt | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent | $6.8B | 2024-09-30 | 2025-11-21 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 47 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $265.6M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 48 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $691.3M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 49 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $478.0M | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 50 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $235.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-05 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 51 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | $697.0M | 2025-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
Limitations [top]
Grade boundary. Percentile 45.5 is 5.5 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 3.8 points.
Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.
Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.
Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.
Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.
Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.
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