Assay

Financial-condition grades for SEC filers

Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026


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TheRealReal, Inc.REAL · shops
GradeBearEweakest fifth of 258 graded peers; percentile 84.0, sampling error 2.9 points; lower is stronger
Rank217 of 258
ProfitabilityBpercentile 36.3
SolvencyEpercentile 86.4
Growth and financingDpercentile 70.3
Reliability0.87 AUCfailure model, filers with $120M to $591M assets; 95% interval 0.83 to 0.90; 206 events, 2020 to 2025
Peer failure rate1.03% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025
Size band$120M to $591M assetstotal assets $409.0M[1]
Standard universeinsiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2]
Warningsnone activenot computable: distress, fortress balance sheet
Inputs computable8 of 14
Graded fromfilings received through Feb 26, 2026225 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date
Last close$9.622026-10-08; market equity $1.2B; iex feed
Price used in gradeNone
Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history
$10$15NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctD/EE$9.62
ABCDE20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date.

Open this report as it stood on

Letter setLetterPercentileBand
Jan 21, 2012nonen/a
Mar 21, 2020nonen/aQ3
Mar 21, 2021nonen/aQ4
Mar 21, 2023C47.1Q4
Apr 21, 2023B/C43.0Q4
Jun 21, 2023C43.7Q4
Jan 21, 2024B/C42.7Q4
Feb 21, 2024C43.6Q4
Mar 21, 2024E86.0Q3
May 21, 2025D/E82.8Q3
Mar 21, 2026E88.0Q3

Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan.

Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Feb 26, 2026; the document on sec.gov.

The RealReal is the world’s largest online marketplace for authenticated, resale luxury goods. We are revolutionizing luxury resale by providing an end-to-end service that unlocks supply and creates a trusted, curated online marketplace for buyers globally. Since our inception, we have cultivated a loyal and engaged consignor and buyer base through continuous investment in our technology platform, logistics infrastructure, brand and people. We offer a wide selection of authenticated, primarily pre-owned luxury goods on our online marketplace bearing the brands of thousands of luxury and premium designers.

The Fourteen Inputs [top]

Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.

InputPercentile, 0 to 100ValueSourcePeer medianPercentilePeersPeriod end
Profitability, sleeve percentile 36.3
Gross profitability126.4%[1,3]42.6%3.32422025-12-31
Return on invested capitalnot computable10.9%
one or more required annual facts are missing
Accruals ratio(18.9%)[1,4-6](4.9%)11.52872025-12-31
Gross margin stability, five years7.4 pts[2-3,7-14]1.2 pts94.02192025-12-31
Solvency, sleeve percentile 86.4
Twelve-month failure probabilitynot computable0.04%
latest liabilities, cash plus short-term investments, book equity, and shares are required
Altman Z double-prime(11.84)[1,15-20]1.9292.32082025-12-31
Net debt to EBITDAnot computable1.84x
one or more required annual facts are missing
Interest coveragenot computable2.26x
latest aligned inputs end 2023-12-31; latest annual assets end 2025-12-31
Current ratio0.86x[15-16]1.37x80.62952025-12-31
Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 70.3
Revenue growth, three-year compound4.7%[2,8,10,12]1.5%34.02692025-12-31
Free cash flow growth, three-year compoundnot computable5.6%
current FCF must be positive and base FCF must exceed $100,000
Reinvestment ratenot computable7.3%
pretax income must exceed the validity floor and imply a 0%-100% tax rate
Asset growth, three years(12.7%)[1,6,21-22]3.4%89.32722025-12-31
Net share issuance, one year7.0%[23-24](0.6%)87.62112026-02-18

Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.

Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.

Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.

Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.

Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.

Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.

Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite 0.319; sampling error 2.9 percentile points on 258 peers.

Among 258 Peers [top]

ABCDECOST, Costco Wholesale Corp.; A, percentile 4.7; market equity $420.1B; warnings: fortress balance sheetCOSTAMZN, Amazon COM Inc.; A/B, percentile 20.2; market equity $2.7T; warnings: fortress balance sheetAMZNHD, Home Depot, Inc.; B, percentile 32.3; market equity $294.8BHDTJX, TJX Companies Inc.; C, percentile 43.6; market equity $152.6BTJXWMT, Walmart Inc.; C, percentile 52.9; market equity $877.2BWMTMCD, Mcdonalds Corp.; D, percentile 63.4; market equity $167.6BMCDREAL 84.0strongerweaker

Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.

RankCompanyPercentileLetterWarnings
212Vestis Corp. (VSTS)

Vestis Corp. (VSTS)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 82.1

NYSE · Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods

market equity $1.9B; last close $13.99

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

82.1D/E
213GrowGeneration Corp. (GRWG)

GrowGeneration Corp. (GRWG)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 82.5

Nasdaq · Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply

market equity $89.0M; last close $1.50

Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 9 of 14 inputs

82.5D/Efortress balance sheet
214CDW Corp. (CDW)

CDW Corp. (CDW)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 82.9

Nasdaq · Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

market equity $17.5B; last close $139.84

No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs

82.9D/E
215Carriage Services Inc. (CSV)

Carriage Services Inc. (CSV)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.3

NYSE · Services-Personal Services

market equity $535.7M; last close $33.77

No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs

83.3E
216Gold.com, Inc. (GOLD)

Gold.com, Inc. (GOLD)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 83.7

NYSE · Wholesale-Jewelry, Watches, Precious Stones & Metals

market equity $1.2B; last close $41.69

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

83.7E
217TheRealReal, Inc. (REAL)

TheRealReal, Inc. (REAL)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 84.0

Nasdaq · Retail-Miscellaneous Retail

market equity $1.2B; last close $9.62

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

84.0E
218RH (RH)

RH (RH)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 84.4

NYSE · Retail-Furniture Stores

market equity $2.2B; last close $113.66

No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs

84.4E
219ThredUp Inc. (TDUP)

ThredUp Inc. (TDUP)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 84.8

Nasdaq · Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

market equity $308.5M; last close $2.35

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

84.8E
220Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN)

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 85.2

Nasdaq · Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores

market equity $423.7M; last close $50.73

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

85.2E
221Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 85.6

NYSE · Retail-Eating Places

market equity $24.7B; last close $70.64

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

85.6E
222Sportsman'S Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH)

Sportsman'S Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH)

Eweakest fifth; percentile 86.0

Nasdaq · Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores

market equity $44.2M; last close $1.12

No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs

86.0E
Peer policyLetterPercentilePeers
all graded filers, equal sleevesE83.12204
sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade)E84.0258
same exchange, equal sleevesD/E78.91219
sector peers, equal inputsD/E80.2258

Each letter is one fifth of the 258 graded peers, about 51 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.

What the Price Implies [top]

Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.

MeasureValuePeer medianPercentileReading
Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month(3.7%)(0.1%)45hotter than 45 of 100 peers
Distance from 52-week high(43.1%)(24.1%)24closer to its high than 24 of 100 peers
EBIT to enterprise valuenot computable5.3%required accounting or market input is missing
Free cash flow yield1.6%4.2%29pricier than 71 of 100 peers
Book value to price(0.32)0.367pricier than 93 of 100 peers
Sales to price0.591.7520pricier than 80 of 100 peers
Composite equity issuance, five years30.3%(16.7%)91more equity-funded than 91 of 100 peers
Relative strength against the sector, log excess return(0.01)0.0245ahead of 45 of 100 peers

Inputs: market equity $1.2B; EBIT -$23.9M; free cash flow $18.4M; book equity -$377.7M; sales $692.8M; cash $119.1M[25].

Diagnostics [top]

Diagnostics do not feed the grade.

Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-31
Return on assets above zero(9.9%)✗ fail[4,6]
Operating cash flow above zero$37.0M✓ pass[5]
Return on assets improved20.1 pts✓ pass[4,6,21,26]
Operating cash flow exceeds net income$78.8M✓ pass[4-5]
Long-term leverage felln/a[1,6,21]
Current ratio improved(7.5 pts)✗ fail[15-16,27-28]
No new shares issued7.0%✗ fail[23-24]
Gross margin improved0.1 pts✓ pass[2-3,7-8]
Asset turnover improved29.4 pts✓ pass[2,6,8,21]
Cash, filings, liquidity
Cash and equivalents$119.1M[29]
Operating cash flow, four quarters$53.8M[5,29-33]
Months of runwaynot finite
trailing operating cash flow is nonnegative, so runway is not finite
Late filings, two years0
NT 10-K or NT 10-Q
Days since last periodic filing64
10-Q received Aug 6, 2026
Median daily dollar volume$27.0M
63 sessions
Days since newest grade input225

Downloads [top]

Sources [top]

Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.

#ConceptXBRL tagValuePeriod endReceivedFormLinks
1assetsus-gaap:Assets$409.0M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
2revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$692.8M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
3gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$516.8M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
4net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss-$41.8M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
5operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$37.0M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
6assetsus-gaap:Assets$423.1M2024-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
7gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$447.5M2024-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
8revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$600.5M2024-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
9gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$376.3M2023-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
10revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$549.3M2023-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
11gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$348.7M2022-12-312025-02-2110-Kfiling · viewer · series
12revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$603.5M2022-12-312025-02-2110-Kfiling · viewer · series
13gross profitus-gaap:GrossProfit$273.5M2021-12-312024-03-0110-Kfiling · viewer · series
14revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$467.7M2021-12-312024-03-0110-Kfiling · viewer · series
15current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$227.5M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
16current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$264.2M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
17retained earningsus-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit-$1.3B2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
18operating incomeus-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss-$23.9M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
19book equityus-gaap:StockholdersEquity-$415.5M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
20liabilitiesus-gaap:Liabilities$824.6M2025-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
21assetsus-gaap:Assets$446.9M2023-12-312025-02-2110-Kfiling · viewer · series
22assetsus-gaap:Assets$615.6M2022-12-312024-03-0110-Kfiling · viewer · series
23shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding118,982,8052026-02-182026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
24shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding111,246,6082025-02-142025-02-2110-Kfiling · viewer · series
25shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding121,671,1152026-07-312026-08-0610-Qfiling · viewer · series
26net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss-$134.2M2024-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
27current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$232.7M2024-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
28current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$248.7M2024-12-312026-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
29cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$119.1M2026-06-302026-08-0610-Qfiling · viewer · series
30operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$15.0M2026-06-302026-08-0610-Qfiling · viewer · series
31operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$16.6M2026-03-312026-05-0710-Qfiling · viewer · series
32operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$12.5M2025-09-302025-11-1010-Qfiling · viewer · series
33operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities-$31.8M2025-06-302026-08-0610-Qfiling · viewer · series

Limitations [top]

Grade boundary. Percentile 84.0 is 4.0 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.9 points.

Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.

Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.

Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.

Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.

Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.