Assay
Financial-condition grades for SEC filers
Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026
|
| Serve Robotics Inc.SERV · manufacturing | |
|---|---|
| Grade |  Cmiddle fifth of 255 graded peers; percentile 45.7, sampling error 3.0 points; lower is stronger |
| Rank | 117 of 255 |
| Profitability | C/Dpercentile 61.6 |
| Solvency | Bpercentile 33.9 |
| Growth and financing | Cpercentile 47.5 |
| Reliability | 0.87 AUCfailure model, filers with $120M to $591M assets; 95% interval 0.83 to 0.90; 206 events, 2020 to 2025 |
| Peer failure rate | 1.03% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025 |
| Size band | $120M to $591M assetstotal assets $367.8M[1] |
| Standard universe | insiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2] |
| Warnings | dilutionnot computable: fortress balance sheet |
| Inputs computable | 7 of 14 |
| Graded from | filings received through Mar 12, 2026211 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date |
| Last close | $4.452026-10-08; market equity $385.8M; iex feed |
| Price used in grade | None |
| Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date. Open this report as it stood on | ||||||||||||||||||||
Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan. |
Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Mar 12, 2026; the document on sec.gov.
Unless otherwise stated or the context otherwise indicates, all references to “Serve,” the “Company,” “we,” “our,” “us,” or similar terms refer to Serve Robotics Inc. together with its wholly-owned subsidiaries. Serve Operating Co. is our direct, wholly-owned subsidiary and holds all material assets and conducts all business activities and operations of Serve.
Warnings [top]
7 checks ran; none of them enters the letter. The checks are listed on the warnings screen.
The Fourteen Inputs [top]
Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.
| Input | Percentile, 0 to 100 | Value | Source | Peer median | Percentile | Peers | Period end |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability, sleeve percentile 61.6 | |||||||
| Gross profitability | (4.2%) | [1,5] | 21.9% | 98.5 | 275 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Return on invested capital | not computable | 9.7% | |||||
| one or more required annual facts are missing | |||||||
| Accruals ratio | (8.3%) | [1,6-8] | (3.6%) | 24.8 | 308 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Gross margin stability, five years | not computable | 2.1 pts | |||||
| five annual gross margins are required; found 3 | |||||||
| Solvency, sleeve percentile 33.9 | |||||||
| Twelve-month failure probability | 0.19% | 0.04% | 97.0 | 34 | 2026-06-30 | ||
| Altman Z double-prime | 21.81 | [1,9-14] | 3.66 | 1.2 | 244 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | not computable | 1.78x | |||||
| one or more required annual facts are missing | |||||||
| Interest coverage | not computable | 5.09x | |||||
| latest aligned inputs end 2023-12-31; latest annual assets end 2025-12-31 | |||||||
| Current ratio | 18.13x | [9-10] | 2.25x | 3.4 | 325 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 47.5 | |||||||
| Revenue growth, three-year compound | not computable | 2.1% | |||||
| four annual observations are required; found 3 | |||||||
| Free cash flow growth, three-year compound | not computable | 13.9% | |||||
| four consecutive annual FCF observations are required; found 3 | |||||||
| Reinvestment rate | not computable | 26.4% | |||||
| NOPAT must exceed $100,000 | |||||||
| Asset growth, three years | 250.5% | [1,8,15-16] | 4.4% | 0.0 | 279 | 2025-12-31 | |
| Net share issuance, one year | 33.0% | [3-4] | 0.01% | 95.0 | 243 | 2026-03-10 | |
Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.
Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.
Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.
Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.
Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.
Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.
Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite -0.051; sampling error 3.0 percentile points on 255 peers.
Among 255 Peers [top]
Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.
| Rank | Company | Percentile | Letter | Warnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | CPS Technologies (CPSH) CPS Technologies (CPSH) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 43.7 Nasdaq · Pottery & Related Products market equity $69.8M; last close $3.58 Warnings: fortress balance sheet; 10 of 14 inputs | 43.7 | C | fortress balance sheet |
| 113 | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 44.1 Nasdaq · Glass Products, Made of Purchased Glass market equity $851.9M; last close $40.92 No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs | 44.1 | C | |
| 114 | Terex Corp. (TEX) Terex Corp. (TEX) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 44.5 NYSE · Industrial Trucks, Tractors, Trailors & Stackers market equity $6.0B; last close $52.32 Warnings: dilution; 13 of 14 inputs | 44.5 | C | dilution |
| 115 | Packaging Corp. OF America (PKG) Packaging Corp. OF America (PKG) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 44.9 NYSE · Paperboard Containers & Boxes market equity $20.5B; last close $229.73 Warnings: dilution; 11 of 14 inputs | 44.9 | C | dilution |
| 116 | Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 45.3 NYSE · Ship & Boat Building & Repairing market equity $10.4B; last close $265.06 No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs | 45.3 | C | |
| 117 | Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 45.7 Nasdaq · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC market equity $385.8M; last close $4.45 Warnings: dilution; 7 of 14 inputs | 45.7 | C | dilution |
| 118 | Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 46.1 Nasdaq · Industrial & Commercial Fans & Blowers & Air Purifing Equip market equity $3.8B; last close $65.55 No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs | 46.1 | C | |
| 119 | Dnow Inc. (DNOW) Dnow Inc. (DNOW) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 46.5 NYSE · Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment market equity $2.8B; last close $15.65 Warnings: dilution; 8 of 14 inputs | 46.5 | C | dilution |
| 120 | Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 46.9 Nasdaq · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC market equity $25.4B; last close $42.04 Warnings: late filer; 7 of 14 inputs | 46.9 | C | late filer |
| 121 | Zebra Technologies Corp. (ZBRA) Zebra Technologies Corp. (ZBRA) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 47.2 Nasdaq · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment market equity $18.1B; last close $382.25 No active warnings; 10 of 14 inputs | 47.2 | C | |
| 122 | Nordson Corp. (NDSN) Nordson Corp. (NDSN) Cmiddle fifth; percentile 47.6 Nasdaq · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC market equity $18.2B; last close $326.92 No active warnings; 11 of 14 inputs | 47.6 | C |
| Peer policy | Letter | Percentile | Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| all graded filers, equal sleeves | C | 43.3 | 2204 |
| sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade) | C | 45.7 | 255 |
| same exchange, equal sleeves | C | 44.3 | 1219 |
| sector peers, equal inputs | B/C | 39.4 | 255 |
Each letter is one fifth of the 255 graded peers, about 51 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.
What the Price Implies [top]
Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.
| Measure | Value | Peer median | Percentile | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month | (58.1%) | 13.7% | 3 | hotter than 3 of 100 peers |
| Distance from 52-week high | (74.8%) | (24.3%) | 2 | closer to its high than 2 of 100 peers |
| EBIT to enterprise value | not computable | 4.1% | required accounting or market input is missing | |
| Free cash flow yield | (30.5%) | 3.4% | 4 | pricier than 96 of 100 peers |
| Book value to price | 0.91 | 0.34 | 88 | pricier than 12 of 100 peers |
| Sales to price | 0.01 | 0.54 | 1 | pricier than 99 of 100 peers |
| Composite equity issuance, five years | not computable | (9.5%) | five-year total-return history is required | |
| Relative strength against the sector, log excess return | (1.00) | (0.00) | 3 | ahead of 3 of 100 peers |
Inputs: market equity $385.8M; EBIT -$112.8M; free cash flow -$117.6M; book equity $351.8M; sales $2.7M; cash $79.1M[17].
Diagnostics [top]
Diagnostics do not feed the grade.
| Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-31 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets above zero | (72.6%) | ✗ fail[6,8] |
| Operating cash flow above zero | -$80.2M | ✗ fail[7] |
| Return on assets improved | 1,324.8 pts | ✓ pass[6,8,15,18] |
| Operating cash flow exceeds net income | $21.1M | ✓ pass[6-7] |
| Long-term leverage fell | n/a[1,8,15] | |
| Current ratio improved | (27.2 pts) | ✗ fail[9-10,19-20] |
| No new shares issued | 33.0% | ✗ fail[3-4] |
| Gross margin improved | (576.1 pts) | ✗ fail[2,5,21-22] |
| Asset turnover improved | (62.7 pts) | ✗ fail[2,8,15,22] |
Downloads [top]
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Sources [top]
Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.
| # | Concept | XBRL tag | Value | Period end | Received | Form | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $367.8M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 2 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $2.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 3 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 75,690,177 | 2026-03-10 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 4 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 56,918,226 | 2025-03-04 | 2025-04-02 | 10-K/A | filing · viewer · series |
| 5 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | -$15.4M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 6 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | -$101.4M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 7 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$80.2M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 8 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $139.6M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 9 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $241.1M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 10 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $13.3M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 11 | retained earnings | us-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit | -$208.9M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 12 | operating income | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss | -$112.8M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 13 | book equity | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity | $350.7M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 14 | liabilities | us-gaap:Liabilities | $17.0M | 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 15 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $2.8M | 2023-12-31 | 2025-03-06 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 16 | assets | us-gaap:Assets | $8.5M | 2022-12-31 | 2024-02-29 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 17 | shares outstanding | dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding | 86,707,507 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 18 | net income | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss | -$39.2M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 19 | current assets | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent | $125.3M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 20 | current liabilities | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent | $6.8M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 21 | gross profit | us-gaap:GrossProfit | -$75,000 | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 22 | revenue | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax | $1.8M | 2024-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 10-K | filing · viewer · series |
| 23 | cash | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue | $79.1M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 24 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$84.7M | 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 25 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$41.4M | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 26 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$50.6M | 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-14 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
| 27 | operating cash flow | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | -$25.4M | 2025-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | filing · viewer · series |
Limitations [top]
Grade boundary. Percentile 45.7 is 5.7 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 3.0 points.
Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.
Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.
Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.
Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.
Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.
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