Assay

Financial-condition grades for SEC filers

Company Report · as of Oct 9, 2026


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RED Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.RRGB · shops
GradeSlothD/Eon the D/E boundary of 258 graded peers; percentile 77.4, sampling error 2.9 points; lower is stronger
Rank200 of 258
ProfitabilityBpercentile 23.8
SolvencyD/Epercentile 79.0
Growth and financingD/Epercentile 80.0
Reliability0.87 AUCfailure model, filers with $120M to $591M assets; 95% interval 0.83 to 0.90; 206 events, 2020 to 2025
Peer failure rate1.03% a yearItem 1.03 bankruptcies, same asset band, 2012 to 2025
Size band$120M to $591M assetstotal assets $563.5M[1]
Standard universeinsiderevenue above $1M and assets above $10M[1-2]
Warningsnone activenot computable: short runway, distress
Inputs computable7 of 14
Graded fromfilings received through Feb 25, 2026226 days before the rescan; every figure keyed to the SEC receipt date
Last close$8.432026-10-08; market equity $159.4M; iex feed
Price used in gradeNone
Share price, twelve months to the rescansplit-adjusted close; a lollipop at every rescan carries the letter held then; baseline ticks are SEC receipt dates of the inputs; ranges and dragging scroll the full history
$5$10NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctED/EDD/E$8.44
ABCDE20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Percentile at every rescan on file, Jan 21, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026; stronger toward the top. Hover for the date.

Open this report as it stood on

Letter setLetterPercentileBand
Jan 21, 2012nonen/a
Mar 21, 2012nonen/aQ4
Feb 21, 2015C/D59.4Q4
Apr 21, 2015D65.9Q4
Feb 21, 2016C50.7Q4
Feb 21, 2017nonen/aQ4
Mar 21, 2019D/E80.3Q4
Mar 21, 2020E91.7Q4
Mar 21, 2026D/E79.6Q3
Jun 21, 2026D76.1Q3
Sep 26, 2026D/E77.8Q3

Each date opens the report as it stood on that rescan.

Business, in the company's words. Opening of Item 1 of the 10-K received Feb 25, 2026; the document on sec.gov.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., a Delaware corporation, is the parent company for Red Robin International, Inc., a Nevada corporation, that, together with its subsidiaries, primarily operates, franchises, and develops casual dining restaurants in North America famous for serving more than 20 craveable, high-quality burgers with Bottomless Steak Fries® and sides in a fun environment welcoming to guests of all ages. We opened the first Red Robin® restaurant in Seattle, Washington in September 1969. In 1979, the first franchised Red Robin restaurant was opened in Yakima, Washington. In 2001, we formed Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. and consummated a reorganization of the Company.

The Fourteen Inputs [top]

Lower percentile is stronger. Source numbers open the SEC filing; a range that spans filings opens the sources table.

InputPercentile, 0 to 100ValueSourcePeer medianPercentilePeersPeriod end
Profitability, sleeve percentile 23.8
Gross profitabilitynot computable42.6%
latest aligned inputs end 2018-12-30; latest annual assets end 2025-12-28
Return on invested capitalnot computable10.9%
pretax income must exceed the validity floor and imply a 0%-100% tax rate
Accruals ratio(10.0%)[1,3-5](4.9%)23.82872025-12-28
Gross margin stability, five yearsnot computable1.2 pts
five annual gross margins are required; found 1
Solvency, sleeve percentile 79.0
Twelve-month failure probabilitynot computable0.04%
four consecutive discrete net-income quarters are required; found 4
Altman Z double-prime(2.43)[1,6-11]1.9279.72082025-12-28
Net debt to EBITDA2.79x[9,12-14]1.84x63.61002025-12-28
Interest coveragenot computable2.26x
latest aligned inputs end 2022-12-25; latest annual assets end 2025-12-28
Current ratio0.45x[6-7]1.37x93.52952025-12-28
Growth and financing, sleeve percentile 80.0
Revenue growth, three-year compound(1.5%)[2,15-17]1.5%64.62692025-12-28
Free cash flow growth, three-year compoundnot computable5.6%
current FCF must be positive and base FCF must exceed $100,000
Reinvestment ratenot computable7.3%
pretax income must exceed the validity floor and imply a 0%-100% tax rate
Asset growth, three years(12.2%)[1,5,18-19]3.4%88.22722025-12-28
Net share issuance, one year3.5%[20-21](0.6%)87.12112026-02-18

Gross profitability. Revenue less cost of goods sold, over total assets.

Accruals ratio. Net income less operating cash flow, over average assets; lower is stronger.

Gross margin stability, five years. Standard deviation of gross margin; lower is stronger.

Twelve-month failure probability. CHS model; lower is stronger.

Net debt to EBITDA. Lower is stronger.

Net share issuance, one year. Split-adjusted; lower is stronger.

Sleeves are equal-weighted; within a sleeve each computable input carries equal weight. Composite 0.251; sampling error 2.9 percentile points on 258 peers.

Among 258 Peers [top]

ABCDECOST, Costco Wholesale Corp.; A, percentile 4.7; market equity $420.1B; warnings: fortress balance sheetCOSTAMZN, Amazon COM Inc.; A/B, percentile 20.2; market equity $2.7T; warnings: fortress balance sheetAMZNHD, Home Depot, Inc.; B, percentile 32.3; market equity $294.8BHDTJX, TJX Companies Inc.; C, percentile 43.6; market equity $152.6BTJXWMT, Walmart Inc.; C, percentile 52.9; market equity $877.2BWMTMCD, Mcdonalds Corp.; D, percentile 63.4; market equity $167.6BMCDRRGB 77.4strongerweaker

Composite score of every graded peer, smoothed. Vertical rules are the letter band edges at the 20th, 40th, 60th and 80th percentiles. Small dots are the six largest peers by market equity.

RankCompanyPercentileLetterWarnings
195Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP)

Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP)

Dfourth fifth; percentile 75.5

NYSE · Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores

market equity $2.6B; last close $42.46

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

75.5D
1961 800 Flowers COM Inc. (FLWS)

1 800 Flowers COM Inc. (FLWS)

Dfourth fifth; percentile 75.9

Nasdaq · Retail-Retail Stores, NEC

last close $2.73

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

75.9D
197Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF)

Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF)

Dfourth fifth; percentile 76.3

Nasdaq · Retail-Retail Stores, NEC

last close $2.25

No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs

76.3D
198Nextnrg, Inc. (NXXT)

Nextnrg, Inc. (NXXT)

Dfourth fifth; percentile 76.7

Nasdaq · Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

market equity $104.1M; last close $0.61

Warnings: dilution, late filer; 9 of 14 inputs

76.7Ddilution, late filer
199Service Corp. International (SCI)

Service Corp. International (SCI)

Dfourth fifth; percentile 77.0

NYSE · Services-Personal Services

market equity $10.5B; last close $76.82

No active warnings; 12 of 14 inputs

77.0D
200RED Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB)

RED Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 77.4

Nasdaq · Retail-Eating Places

market equity $159.5M; last close $8.43

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

77.4D/E
201Ashland Inc. (ASH)

Ashland Inc. (ASH)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 77.8

NYSE · Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products

market equity $3.2B; last close $70.67

No active warnings; 9 of 14 inputs

77.8D/E
202Global Partners L.P. (GLP)

Global Partners L.P. (GLP)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 78.2

NYSE · Wholesale-Petroleum Bulk Stations & Terminals

market equity $1.6B; last close $47.97

No active warnings; 8 of 14 inputs

78.2D/E
203Restaurant Brands International Limited Partnership (QSP)

Restaurant Brands International Limited Partnership (QSP)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 78.6

None · Retail-Eating Places

No active warnings; 7 of 14 inputs

78.6D/E
204Ryerson Holding Corp. (RYZ)

Ryerson Holding Corp. (RYZ)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 79.0

NYSE · Wholesale-Metals Service Centers & of fices

market equity $1.3B; last close $25.93

Warnings: dilution; 10 of 14 inputs

79.0D/Edilution
205CVS Health Corp. (CVS)

CVS Health Corp. (CVS)

D/Eon the D/E boundary; percentile 79.4

NYSE · Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores

market equity $112.3B; last close $87.82

No active warnings; 13 of 14 inputs

79.4D/E
Peer policyLetterPercentilePeers
all graded filers, equal sleevesD/E79.62204
sector peers, equal sleeves (the grade)D/E77.4258
same exchange, equal sleevesD/E79.21219
sector peers, equal inputsE91.8258

Each letter is one fifth of the 258 graded peers, about 51 companies. A boundary letter (A/B, B/C, C/D, D/E) marks a percentile within one sampling error of a band edge.

What the Price Implies [top]

Market measures at the 2026-10-08 close. None enters the grade. Percentile among graded peers with the same measure.

MeasureValuePeer medianPercentileReading
Twelve-month price change, skipping the latest month33.1%(0.1%)80hotter than 80 of 100 peers
Distance from 52-week high(20.3%)(24.1%)54closer to its high than 54 of 100 peers
EBIT to enterprise value0.9%5.3%20pricier than 80 of 100 peers
Free cash flow yield3.9%4.2%48pricier than 52 of 100 peers
Book value to price(0.66)0.364pricier than 96 of 100 peers
Sales to price7.591.7590pricier than 10 of 100 peers
Composite equity issuance, five years19.4%(16.7%)91more equity-funded than 91 of 100 peers
Relative strength against the sector, log excess return0.310.0280ahead of 80 of 100 peers

Inputs: market equity $159.5M; EBIT $2.8M; free cash flow $6.2M; book equity -$105.6M; sales $1.2B; debt $170.2M; cash $22.8M[22].

Diagnostics [top]

Diagnostics do not feed the grade.

Piotroski F-score: None of 9, period end 2025-12-28
Return on assets above zero(3.6%)✗ fail[3,5]
Operating cash flow above zero$37.0M✓ pass[4]
Return on assets improved6.8 pts✓ pass[3,5,18,23]
Operating cash flow exceeds net income$60.3M✓ pass[3-4]
Long-term leverage fell1.1 pts✗ fail[1,5,18,24-25]
Current ratio improved(7.7 pts)✗ fail[6-7,26-27]
No new shares issued3.5%✗ fail[20-21]
Gross margin improvedn/a
Asset turnover improved20.4 pts✓ pass[2,5,15,18]
Cash, filings, liquidity
Cash and equivalentsn/a
Operating cash flow, four quartersn/a[4,28-32]
Months of runwaynot finite
the four latest operating-cash-flow quarters are not consecutive
Late filings, two years0
NT 10-K or NT 10-Q
Days since last periodic filing58
10-Q received Aug 12, 2026
Median daily dollar volume$1.8M
63 sessions
Days since newest grade input226

Downloads [top]

Sources [top]

Every citation on this page. Filing opens the SEC index page for that submission; viewer opens the SEC interactive data for the same filing; series opens the SEC XBRL API record for that tag and company.

#ConceptXBRL tagValuePeriod endReceivedFormLinks
1assetsus-gaap:Assets$563.5M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
2revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$1.2B2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
3net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss-$23.3M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
4operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$37.0M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
5assetsus-gaap:Assets$641.3M2024-12-292026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
6current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$88.9M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
7current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$198.6M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
8retained earningsus-gaap:RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit-$176.2M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
9operating incomeus-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss$2.8M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
10book equityus-gaap:StockholdersEquity-$106.3M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
11liabilitiesus-gaap:Liabilities$669.9M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
12total debtus-gaap:LongTermDebt$170.2M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
13cashus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue$19.9M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
14depreciation amortizationus-gaap:DepreciationDepletionAndAmortization$51.1M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
15revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$1.2B2024-12-292026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
16revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$1.3B2023-12-312026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
17revenueus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax$1.3B2022-12-252025-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
18assetsus-gaap:Assets$741.9M2023-12-312025-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
19assetsus-gaap:Assets$832.1M2022-12-252024-02-2810-Kfiling · viewer · series
20shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding18,074,4722026-02-182026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
21shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding17,467,4932025-02-242025-02-2610-Kfiling · viewer · series
22shares outstandingdei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding18,903,7522026-08-052026-08-1210-Qfiling · viewer · series
23net incomeus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss-$77.5M2024-12-292026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
24long term debtus-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent$164.7M2025-12-282026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
25long term debtus-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent$181.6M2024-12-292026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
26current assetsus-gaap:AssetsCurrent$99.4M2024-12-292026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
27current liabilitiesus-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent$189.6M2024-12-292026-02-2510-Kfiling · viewer · series
28operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$14.5M2026-07-122026-08-1210-Qfiling · viewer · series
29operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$7.0M2026-04-192026-05-1910-Qfiling · viewer · series
30operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$26.0M2025-10-052025-11-1010-Qfiling · viewer · series
31operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$29.5M2025-07-132026-08-1210-Qfiling · viewer · series
32operating cash flowus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities$19.6M2025-04-202026-05-1910-Qfiling · viewer · series

Limitations [top]

Grade boundary. Percentile 77.4 is 2.6 points from the nearest band edge; sampling error is 2.9 points.

Peer group. Sector assignment from four-digit SIC codes, hand-tuned and published. The grade under three alternative peer policies is tabled above.

Size. Within a sector the letter tracks size. Among graded filers in the smallest asset band, 72% grade E and 0% grade A; in the largest, 13% grade E and 21% grade A. Universe as of Oct 9, 2026.

Failure model. filings 2012-01-01 to 2019-12-31 fit, filings 2020-01-01 to 2025-12-31 test; status post hoc pending confirmation. pre-registered on 2026 filings once their 12-month outcome windows close; supported if the paired per-quintile gain over the pooled model has a lower bound above 0.05.

Input validity. Revenue or total assets at or below $100,000 sets the degenerate-inputs flag. An input whose denominator is at or below $100,000 is left not computable rather than ranked.

Returns. No input on this page has a post-2015 confidence interval on returns that excludes zero. The grade ranks reported financial condition and is not a return forecast.